South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a78841e7faf9b87f03abce3664ee01414421aef35b21c2c973515f05765feb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under | 55c | 1,256$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.48 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…350fbacked Under | 55c | 1,138$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 52c | 890.37$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.38 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 883.44$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.1 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 44c | 455.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 45c | 375$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 45c | 370$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 350$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 53c | 204.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 181.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 45c | 167.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 121.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 46c | 107$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 51c | 95.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Under | 52c | 53.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 49c | 52.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 53c | 52.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 52c | 45.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Under | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Over | 47c | 41.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 49c | 38.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed Under | 53c | 22.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: CS Cienciano O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.