TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Chicago Sky
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$549,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$580,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Chicago Sky46c161,153$73,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,924.662759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Chicago Sky33c63,662$20,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,966.371747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Indiana Fever54c61,472$33,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,061.3726953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever58c31,712$18,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,431.11,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Indiana Fever54c26,634$14,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,251.6424347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Chicago Sky42c22,975$9,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,604.913956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Indiana Fever61c17,398$10,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,831.981060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Indiana Fever55c14,175$7,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,358.091656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever65c13,956$9,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,939.6199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Indiana Fever54c13,529$7,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,221.0638650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever54c11,171$6,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,138.6636154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Indiana Fever60c10,945$6,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,377.993360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…cd51backed Chicago Sky0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Indiana Fever60c9,539$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.072339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Chicago Sky28c7,718$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.4910340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky41c7,404$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.4678548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Sky45c6,563$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.150952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever54c6,409$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.2940550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Chicago Sky45c6,294$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Indiana Fever74c6,204$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.051050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Indiana Fever64c6,044$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1851752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Indiana Fever58c6,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52083748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever71c4,295$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.441,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Chicago Sky45c4,274$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.234829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Chicago Sky42c4,243$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.976437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Chicago Sky45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8008159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Indiana Fever77c3,868$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.0155255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky44c3,565$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.7389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago Sky28c3,530$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.3928647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Chicago Sky38c3,509$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.148228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Indiana Fever55c2,940$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.866735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Sky39c2,498$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.6550646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Indiana Fever57c2,450$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.52958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Chicago Sky32c2,437$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.2836750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Indiana Fever58c2,379$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.3120947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Indiana Fever56c2,143$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.863740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Chicago Sky44c2,089$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.0613048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Indiana Fever54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92014060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Indiana Fever54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.927740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Indiana Fever60c1,677$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Indiana Fever76c1,644$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.8437141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd772…1d8fbacked Chicago Sky44c1,641$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Indiana Fever54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73619446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Chicago Sky45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6758551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Indiana Fever55c1,479$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.4521446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago Sky45c1,461$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.3323746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Indiana Fever59c1,414$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.6130649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Sky34c1,340$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.2217656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever61c1,296$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.6938645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Indiana Fever58c1,160$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.272857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Indiana Fever58c1,160$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.272948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chicago Sky44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Indiana Fever55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Indiana Fever53c1,076$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.789650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Indiana Fever56c1,022$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.869354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Indiana Fever72c1,003$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.298447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Indiana Fever56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44010249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Indiana Fever55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-76.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Chicago Sky45c941.96$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Sky28c941.27$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9531043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56dd…83d5backed Indiana Fever56c915.36$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Indiana Fever60c872.37$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.0215048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Indiana Fever59c799.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2636454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Chicago Sky43c766.55$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.031353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Sky2c699.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Chicago Sky48c697.21$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.112828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fe8…2cbabacked Indiana Fever54c687.04$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.042166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Indiana Fever56c684.94$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.032152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Indiana Fever57c650.99$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.715738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Chicago Sky44c632.5$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.141145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Sky33c626.01$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.319428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Chicago Sky33c604.39$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4512234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Chicago Sky20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Chicago Sky46c586.96$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Sky31c571.43$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6732150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…97afbacked Indiana Fever54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Indiana Fever55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.455844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Indiana Fever58c504.41$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.857647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Indiana Fever58c504.41$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Chicago Sky40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Indiana Fever54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Indiana Fever57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Indiana Fever55c473.13$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6641147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Chicago Sky44c460$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5415250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed Indiana Fever60c444.32$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.573762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Indiana Fever65c442.61$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2110454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Indiana Fever61c441.17$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5231448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Indiana Fever56c439.03$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.353158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Chicago Sky32c418.42$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.512339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Chicago Sky46c412.38$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Sky41c400.37$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3232540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Indiana Fever78c388.48$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2912661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Chicago Sky34c367.58$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.888062.5%50 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Indiana Fever54c367$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Indiana Fever58c356.9$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.96640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Indiana Fever55c342.76$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.242548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Indiana Fever59c339.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Indiana Fever58c338.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3710552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Indiana Fever78c335.69$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6615451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582c…3266backed Indiana Fever60c334.75$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.411457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.