WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd33046d7c07b3e91af225bd4b73375626ea40070ef55c73f48e3df68e5cff80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 12,946$6,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,343.34 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 10,645$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,216.11 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 51c | 7,427$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 50c | 3,636$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.6 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 3,361$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.91 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 2,727$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.05 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.31 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 7c | 1,338$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.71 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 48c | 633.38$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.38 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 560.76$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.77 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 356.78$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.51 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 51c | 215.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 51c | 215.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 51c | 205.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 193$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Under | 41c | 119.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 51c | 111.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 54c | 72.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 48c | 67.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 51c | 61.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 53.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 51c | 53.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 49c | 51.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 51c | 49.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 43.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under | 51c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 20.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5this page
- Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Chicago SkyIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 186.5Over won
- Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-4.5)Indiana Fever won
- Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 14.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.