WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 186.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62be5c0b332fe7c3e4f3b983c162b27ff492aef5459fa331734a3af49b992707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 19,601$9,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,212.59 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Over | 53c | 12,549$6,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 7,185$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.39 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 52c | 2,101$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.39 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 48c | 1,930$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.41 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 11c | 1,231$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 5c | 1,105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 53c | 1,087$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.86 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 50c | 964$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 929$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.63 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 767.93$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.48 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 49c | 660.12$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.12 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…9884backed Under | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Under | 46c | 535.12$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 47c | 518$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Under | 48c | 445.83$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 423$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 50c | 414.54$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 368.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 35c | 338.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 34c | 294.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 53c | 215.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 53c | 215.04$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 202.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 50c | 200.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 62c | 134.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 28c | 121.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 66c | 104$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 91.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 46c | 87.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 66c | 84.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 53c | 77.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Over | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 53c | 74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 61c | 69.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 53c | 69.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 54c | 63.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…33b5backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 48.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 48c | 46.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Under | 34c | 31.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 47c | 31.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 40c | 29.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 48c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 48c | 21.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 61c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 186.5this page
- Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Chicago SkyIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5Over won
- Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-4.5)Indiana Fever won
- Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 14.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.