TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e7f…33b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst WNBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28.88
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.5
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$68.2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.63
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$78
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.5
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)backed DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.49
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$55.07
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+219.8%+$68.73
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.88
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.76
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.35
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$130
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$83.42
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$108.9
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$101.38
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.87
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.17
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35%+$29.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.