CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1df1d94ca583c1a97bb6aafb17935ec731754666a66526762eb53097a1fb35e8

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Astralisof HOTU, Astralis
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $150,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $153,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,787 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Astralis	74c	24,114$17,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,252.87	1,431	39%558 W · 873 L	-41.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked HOTU	48c	10,377$5,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,013.94	766	57.8%443 W · 323 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked HOTU	49c	10,118$4,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,919.54	383	58.7%225 W · 158 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis	54c	9,326$5,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,262.64	1,263	46.9%592 W · 671 L	+18.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked HOTU	23c	8,476$1,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,917.24	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis	52c	7,794$4,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,772.83	2,092	41.6%871 W · 1,221 L	-50.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Astralis	55c	7,689$4,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,461.65	878	47.9%421 W · 457 L	+16.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Astralis	50c	6,000$3,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,980	233	43.8%102 W · 131 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis	77c	5,892$4,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380.64	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed HOTU	51c	5,800$2,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,977.09	1,178	54.5%642 W · 536 L	-36.7wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked HOTU	32c	4,413$1,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,405.7	260	45%117 W · 143 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed HOTU	43c	4,000$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710	647	48.4%313 W · 334 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked HOTU	29c	2,940$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.35	252	43.3%109 W · 143 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked HOTU	28c	2,900$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked HOTU	45c	2,775$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.75	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed HOTU	19c	2,713$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.05	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed HOTU	24c	2,660$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.99	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	-15.3wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked HOTU	39c	2,473$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.28	158	38%60 W · 98 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Astralis	56c	2,000$1,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870	895	46.8%419 W · 476 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed HOTU	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	167	49.1%82 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860	1,060	49%519 W · 541 L	+37.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked HOTU	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	244	38.9%95 W · 149 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked HOTU	44c	2,000$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.99	815	44.4%362 W · 453 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed Astralis	60c	1,840$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.53	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked HOTU	42c	1,800$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked HOTU	28c	1,786$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	87	41.4%36 W · 51 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Astralis	50c	1,575$787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.44	262	56.1%147 W · 115 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked HOTU	42c	1,514$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.34	226	47.3%107 W · 119 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Astralis	52c	1,500$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$725	148	47.3%70 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed HOTU	26c	1,500$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.99	167	43.1%72 W · 95 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Astralis	53c	1,449$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.8	408	53.7%219 W · 189 L	+24.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked HOTU	37c	1,391$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.18	263	45.2%119 W · 144 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked HOTU	31c	1,283$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed HOTU	44c	1,200$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed HOTU	35c	1,190$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.5	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis	72c	1,158$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.25	5,580	47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L	+47.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Astralis	64c	1,087$693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.93	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis	57c	1,053$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.48	1,619	45.5%737 W · 882 L	+31.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed HOTU	6c	1,050$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.4	608	38.2%232 W · 376 L	+11.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis	51c	1,045$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.02	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked HOTU	24c	1,044$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	187	43.9%82 W · 105 L	-10.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed HOTU	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	378	45.5%172 W · 206 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed HOTU	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	557	36.3%202 W · 355 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2,456	44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L	-67.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed HOTU	46c	999.99$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU	7c	983.34$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.61	2,664	30.8%820 W · 1,844 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Astralis	51c	925.49$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.49	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Astralis	65c	811.68$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.9	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked HOTU	42c	806.21$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.26	279	54.1%151 W · 128 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis	70c	768.89$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.67	327	52.3%171 W · 156 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed HOTU	3c	737.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	242	33.9%82 W · 160 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU	11c	737.05$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.16	4,754	43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Astralis	50c	735.53$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.27	1,041	53.1%553 W · 488 L	+63.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed HOTU	12c	721.41$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.27	65	72.3%47 W · 18 L	+13.8wins	+0.21per pick	51cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbbe7…121bbacked HOTU	5c	700$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	156	55.1%86 W · 70 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed HOTU	21c	700$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	320	47.2%151 W · 169 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed HOTU	4c	699.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	383	12.8%49 W · 334 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked HOTU	24c	674.94$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.73	196	43.4%85 W · 111 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed HOTU	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	201	61.7%124 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed HOTU	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	+8.0wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Astralis	52c	599.98$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.99	1,007	48.5%488 W · 519 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Astralis	47c	562.98$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.22	338	44.4%150 W · 188 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed HOTU	53c	554.98$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.14	882	42.3%373 W · 509 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5053…913ebacked HOTU	28c	500$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked HOTU	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	117	53.8%63 W · 54 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed HOTU	51c	499.99$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	159	48.4%77 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked HOTU	15c	481$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.75	380	32.1%122 W · 258 L	-18.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Astralis	75c	467.62$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.3	817	44.7%365 W · 452 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34ec…2711backed HOTU	34c	448.56$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.6	88	43.2%38 W · 50 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked HOTU	19c	438.1$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.48	5,034	37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L	-260.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cb1…9fbbbacked HOTU	24c	436.25$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.5	85	34.1%29 W · 56 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed HOTU	24c	434$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.17	2,365	45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L	-58.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Astralis	49c	412.02$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.13	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Astralis	51c	396.03$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.05	221	53.4%118 W · 103 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked HOTU	8c	390.14$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.39	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Astralis	51c	355$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.28	590	44.9%265 W · 325 L	-17.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Astralis	73c	350$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.5	405	58.8%238 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0bd…3338backed HOTU	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Astralis	71c	300$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	133	60.2%80 W · 53 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked HOTU	29c	296.72$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	115	36.5%42 W · 73 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed HOTU	49c	291.53$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.85	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked HOTU	12c	290$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	306	22.9%70 W · 236 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Astralis	53c	275.99$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.72	821	42.5%349 W · 472 L	-15.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d9…4d80backed HOTU	22c	251.41$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.96	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1939…22e8backed HOTU	29c	249.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.5	118	40.7%48 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7f…33b5backed HOTU	30c	240$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed HOTU	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	50.9%81 W · 78 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa4…1211backed Astralis	75c	237.95$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.23	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	62cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed HOTU	44c	236.7$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.53	151	45.7%69 W · 82 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked HOTU	46c	229.99$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.33	491	49.9%245 W · 246 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed HOTU	44c	228.57$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.57	1,041	39.9%415 W · 626 L	+20.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2c…f0d6backed Astralis	57c	224.56$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.56	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed HOTU	26c	219.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	200	45.5%91 W · 109 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Astralis	51c	219.61$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.61	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed HOTU	49c	213.47$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.6	176	44.3%78 W · 98 L	-17.8wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x65c0…7003backed HOTU	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed HOTU	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	164	46.3%76 W · 88 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+14%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Astralis	54c	205$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.3	243	49%119 W · 124 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed HOTU	36c	200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	368	37.5%138 W · 230 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed HOTU	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	434	31.3%136 W · 298 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierAstralis won
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)Astralis won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)HOTU won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event