CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bb5c7e16c028a5837de8d8d36698588d393bd0aeff62415d3d7b73a446786bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 546.76$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 56c | 508.7$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 36c | 200.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…3a70backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…64b2backed Over | 63c | 113$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 52c | 104.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 54c | 100.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 37c | 78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 77.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 72c | 49.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 54c | 44.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 56c | 40.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 34.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 69c | 25.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb16f…a917backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 21.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 57c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)HOTU won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.