CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa68b0238413af58e69cffd60777b6496183f9fb249e3dd7aea703d57bc96d1cd

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Astralisof HOTU, Astralis
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,298,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,394,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,298,068 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 760 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed HOTU	51c	53,540$27,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,415.64	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked HOTU	43c	47,000$20,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,209.95	141	45.4%64 W · 77 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked HOTU	43c	46,985$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Astralis	57c	43,132$24,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,450	117	58.1%68 W · 49 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Astralis	55c	41,333$22,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,394.07	756	52.6%398 W · 358 L	+27.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed HOTU	39c	39,217$15,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,274.39	190	55.8%106 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed HOTU	43c	32,617$14,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,134.6	333	43.8%146 W · 187 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Astralis	41c	31,682$12,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,830.68	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Astralis	44c	31,635$13,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,664.51	203	54.2%110 W · 93 L	+10.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Astralis	58c	29,015$16,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,106.09	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Astralis	53c	19,415$10,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,030.3	364	53.8%196 W · 168 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Astralis	56c	18,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,999.78	333	59.8%199 W · 134 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Astralis	61c	15,000$9,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,849.99	210	48.1%101 W · 109 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked HOTU	37c	12,416$4,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,616.45	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Astralis	38c	11,716$4,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,281.53	221	29.9%66 W · 155 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed HOTU	43c	11,286$4,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,853.11	376	46.3%174 W · 202 L	-17.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Astralis	57c	11,242$6,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,833.88	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed HOTU	44c	11,102$4,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,884.95	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed HOTU	31c	10,518$3,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,241.11	421	42%177 W · 244 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis	56c	9,877$5,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,345.86	325	52.6%171 W · 154 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked Astralis	71c	9,633$6,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,802.23	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Astralis	35c	9,594$3,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,238.63	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Astralis	64c	9,260$5,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,366.07	207	45.9%95 W · 112 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked HOTU	58c	9,126$5,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,263.25	760	58%441 W · 319 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x67ce…100fbacked Astralis	58c	9,076$5,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,826.63	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbb…0ee6backed HOTU	44c	9,000$3,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,959.99	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4533…0adcbacked HOTU	56c	8,564$4,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,782.95	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis	57c	8,262$4,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,529.3	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed HOTU	36c	8,195$2,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,926.46	188	46.3%87 W · 101 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Astralis	59c	8,143$4,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,372.36	668	51.8%346 W · 322 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis	56c	8,000$4,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,519.99	371	57.7%214 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis	62c	7,805$4,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,991.28	471	47.3%223 W · 248 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked HOTU	40c	7,705$3,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,092.25	495	36.4%180 W · 315 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Astralis	55c	7,491$4,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,391.37	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Astralis	57c	7,374$4,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,171.55	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked HOTU	42c	7,371$3,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,083	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-8.5wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked HOTU	41c	7,234$2,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,967.56	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Astralis	60c	7,224$4,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,889.57	849	58.3%495 W · 354 L	+60.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed HOTU	40c	7,193$2,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,898.4	289	43.6%126 W · 163 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6e…b5bcbacked HOTU	44c	6,818$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis	47c	6,440$3,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,413.43	323	48.9%158 W · 165 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU	14c	6,212$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.42	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked HOTU	44c	6,126$2,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,695.4	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Astralis	59c	6,111$3,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,504.46	786	39.4%310 W · 476 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed HOTU	40c	6,044$2,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,417.57	237	32.9%78 W · 159 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Astralis	50c	6,026$3,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,018.04	100	30%30 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Astralis	59c	6,000$3,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,445	716	45.9%329 W · 387 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Astralis	44c	5,823$2,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,283.5	402	64.7%260 W · 142 L	+49.2wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed HOTU	44c	5,681$2,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.43	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed HOTU	40c	5,606$2,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,242.24	253	55.7%141 W · 112 L	+19.4wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked HOTU	44c	5,587$2,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,464.15	249	43.8%109 W · 140 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed HOTU	44c	5,578$2,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,447.91	882	42.3%373 W · 509 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU	30c	5,215$1,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,583	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked HOTU	54c	5,052$2,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,728.12	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Astralis	57c	5,000$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,150	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	379	46.4%176 W · 203 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis	57c	5,000$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,150	303	40.3%122 W · 181 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked HOTU	56c	4,841$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,699.88	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked HOTU	50c	4,716$2,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,348.72	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed HOTU	41c	4,669$1,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.29	388	41.8%162 W · 226 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…7e93backed HOTU	43c	4,651$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Astralis	57c	4,547$2,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,961.54	294	49.3%145 W · 149 L	-10.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked HOTU	21c	4,196$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.51	648	52%337 W · 311 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed HOTU	15c	3,849$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.11	1,579	29.7%469 W · 1,110 L	-86.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked HOTU	52c	3,835$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed HOTU	37c	3,825$1,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429.25	558	45.7%255 W · 303 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed HOTU	62c	3,697$2,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,294.66	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e1…a8a1backed Astralis	61c	3,684$2,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,436.64	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Astralis	43c	3,485$1,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,992.71	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked HOTU	56c	3,480$1,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,961.94	1,256	46.7%587 W · 669 L	+17.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…c3d9backed HOTU	44c	3,406$1,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.62	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Astralis	48c	3,394$1,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,779.66	170	62.9%107 W · 63 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a39…9e71backed HOTU	43c	3,196$1,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,374.09	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed HOTU	40c	3,188$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275	220	44.5%98 W · 122 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0359…fda7backed Astralis	64c	3,136$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,135.62	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6046…87f8backed HOTU	45c	3,092$1,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,391.4	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked HOTU	31c	3,015$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.39	260	45%117 W · 143 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked HOTU	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	253	44.3%112 W · 141 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2095…873ebacked HOTU	37c	3,000$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	-6.2wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis	59c	3,000$1,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Astralis	56c	2,987$1,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,314.31	598	39.6%237 W · 361 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd302…3c8fbacked HOTU	26c	2,957$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.66	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.8wins	+0.22per pick	43cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU	51c	2,950$1,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512.49	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Astralis	61c	2,800$1,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed HOTU	45c	2,772$1,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247	79	43%34 W · 45 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5c…d8f2backed HOTU	47c	2,746$1,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.32	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Astralis	58c	2,712$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152.33	619	48%297 W · 322 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Astralis	61c	2,650$1,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,038.5	238	48.3%115 W · 123 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked HOTU	78c	2,541$1,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,981.86	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c13…71a1backed HOTU	40c	2,533$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.2	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed HOTU	44c	2,502$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Astralis	60c	2,500$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	602	48.7%293 W · 309 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked Astralis	61c	2,500$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$970	116	50%58 W · 58 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked HOTU	39c	2,450$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.5	1,157	48.2%558 W · 599 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x495c…c9eabacked HOTU	44c	2,374$1,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.82	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+30%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Astralis	49c	2,372$1,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,213.54	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked HOTU	40c	2,334$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.6	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Astralis	44c	2,307$1,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300.98	62	71%44 W · 18 L	+12.9wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed HOTU	43c	2,204$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.56	461	49.9%230 W · 231 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Astralis	68c	2,200$1,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)Astralis won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)HOTU won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event