CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa35e122e7c740bd9a4a4968f314805115a632e6795570d6c5837abfabffcf313
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed HOTU | 39c | 40,251$15,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,578.19 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 33c | 16,905$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.93 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed HOTU | 37c | 16,561$6,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,433.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Astralis | 63c | 15,831$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Astralis | 40c | 15,712$6,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,251.67 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Astralis | 62c | 13,874$8,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,601.77 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…fdfebacked HOTU | 55c | 12,370$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,570.49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Astralis | 57c | 10,701$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110.65 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Astralis | 50c | 10,600$5,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,258.14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis | 63c | 9,153$5,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,753.6 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Astralis | 55c | 8,114$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.01 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Astralis | 63c | 8,044$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.28 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed HOTU | 36c | 7,900$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.97 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis | 66c | 7,794$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130.87 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Astralis | 64c | 7,749$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.06 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Astralis | 55c | 6,934$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.66 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis | 63c | 6,273$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952.19 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed HOTU | 34c | 5,966$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed HOTU | 52c | 5,933$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.09 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed HOTU | 43c | 5,745$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Astralis | 51c | 4,734$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.32 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Astralis | 66c | 4,564$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.37 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed HOTU | 46c | 4,312$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.77 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked HOTU | 45c | 4,251$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.24 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Astralis | 48c | 4,001$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed HOTU | 48c | 3,797$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.54 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Astralis | 43c | 3,600$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.21 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed HOTU | 39c | 3,417$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.94 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed HOTU | 34c | 3,350$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.99 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed HOTU | 40c | 3,000$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.99 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed HOTU | 57c | 2,810$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.48 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…a961backed HOTU | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed HOTU | 36c | 2,647$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.08 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 58c | 2,642$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.31 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 61c | 2,496$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.47 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed HOTU | 49c | 2,496$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.48 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed HOTU | 38c | 2,444$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.5 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed HOTU | 37c | 2,385$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.89 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…b419backed Astralis | 63c | 2,120$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed HOTU | 48c | 1,906$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.08 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed HOTU | 36c | 1,886$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.11 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 45c | 1,806$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.91 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked HOTU | 49c | 1,734$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.34 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Astralis | 39c | 1,730$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.7 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 51c | 1,650$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.5 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis | 39c | 1,650$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.5 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked HOTU | 49c | 1,640$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.31 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked HOTU | 37c | 1,590$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.7 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…adc5backed HOTU | 34c | 1,550$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Astralis | 29c | 1,513$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.02 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked HOTU | 55c | 1,386$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.64 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked HOTU | 71c | 1,382$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.41 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Astralis | 63c | 1,265$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.91 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Astralis | 48c | 1,237$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…08b7backed Astralis | 43c | 1,164$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Astralis | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis | 36c | 1,100$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Astralis | 60c | 1,020$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.9 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed HOTU | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed HOTU | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked HOTU | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…5f8fbacked Astralis | 63c | 996.54$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Astralis | 17c | 995.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed HOTU | 49c | 958.48$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.38 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed HOTU | 35c | 937$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.05 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 34c | 919.55$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.52 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Astralis | 35c | 900$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed HOTU | 37c | 900$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astralis | 49c | 808.73$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.67 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Astralis | 54c | 790.57$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.39 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 60c | 790.49$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.16 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed HOTU | 55c | 789.57$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.07 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Astralis | 52c | 755.92$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.88 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Astralis | 62c | 750$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Astralis | 52c | 709.5$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Astralis | 50c | 698.01$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.05 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…884cbacked Astralis | 34c | 686.75$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked HOTU | 43c | 634.7$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.45 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…5c21backed Astralis | 20c | 609.73$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed Astralis | 39c | 589.74$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked HOTU | 70c | 577.11$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.13 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed HOTU | 38c | 572.2$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.76 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked HOTU | 53c | 566.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HOTU | 55c | 560.36$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.19 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed HOTU | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Astralis | 63c | 550$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Astralis | 62c | 549.93$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.38 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Astralis | 38c | 547.19$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.66 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Astralis | 43c | 525.27$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.81 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed HOTU | 58c | 516.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.76 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Astralis | 18c | 503$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked HOTU | 43c | 498.49$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.14 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed HOTU | 39c | 495.32$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.73 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed HOTU | 73c | 490$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 19c | 487.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked HOTU | 44c | 483.84$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.95 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked Astralis | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)HOTU won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.