CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc97997c9d444f7acd2d8a41e4507d0dd15d88bf8a3ed00aa674c7bfee11a501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof Team Falcons, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $474,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 158,063$62,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,325.25 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 49,180$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 32,100$19,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,953.03 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 29,387$11,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,219.71 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 20,819$12,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,491.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 20,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,099.98 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Team Falcons | 61c | 16,080$9,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,808.62 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Team Falcons | 60c | 13,500$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,375 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…ae91backed Team Falcons | 62c | 12,033$7,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,486.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 11,456$6,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,855.99 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 11,000$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 59c | 10,175$6,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,045.71 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…8acbbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 8,628$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 7,777$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.2 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 6,304$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.32 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons | 59c | 5,790$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.85 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 5,728$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.05 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 5,474$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.09 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 5,216$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.64 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Falcons | 73c | 4,503$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.25 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…5e0abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 4,404$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 4,142$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.17 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 4,119$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.22 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 3,100$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.99 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons | 66c | 2,991$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.97 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…0a0dbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,560$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.98 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,100$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,030$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.57 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,880$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.8 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 1,850$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.29 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 1,785$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.42 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 1,759$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.08 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 1,452$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.85 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 1,410$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.5 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…f0d6backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,254$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 1,250$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.49 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 1,246$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.77 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 1,010$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.95 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 836.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.67 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Team Falcons | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 68c | 824.8$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Falcons | 60c | 791.28$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.77 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Team Falcons | 60c | 781.04$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.62 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…fe08backed Team Falcons | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed Team Falcons | 62c | 733.34$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Falcons | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Team Falcons | 59c | 698.26$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 650$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 646.1$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.66 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…500dbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 624.57$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 612.57$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.54 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 599.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.99 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Falcons | 59c | 588.61$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.94 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Team Falcons | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 567$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Team Falcons | 60c | 565$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Team Falcons | 60c | 520$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 512.37$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.67 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Falcons | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons | 60c | 507$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Team Falcons | 61c | 501$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.61 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 501$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.62 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Team Falcons | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.56 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Team Falcons | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…b3a6backed Team Falcons | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 488.63$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.06 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Falcons | 60c | 466.65$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 450$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9080…f91ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 444.26$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 410.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.87 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Falcons | 64c | 400$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Falcons | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Team Falcons | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.