CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d09b7b7ea0b44a83b703af8c29a28d3069821a241ccd49ddf9617fe15ee8fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 122,256$33,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,273.08 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Team Falcons | 73c | 54,500$39,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,715 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 30,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.99 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 28,017$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.46 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 27,750$19,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,769.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 11,406$8,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.77 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Falcons | 75c | 10,916$8,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.33 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Team Falcons | 75c | 7,200$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 4,914$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.33 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…dcf1backed Team Falcons | 72c | 4,845$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 3,402$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.28 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 3,338$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.05 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 3,272$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.27 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed 100 Thieves | 11c | 3,241$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.57 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Team Falcons | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Team Falcons | 73c | 2,909$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…aa80backed Team Falcons | 72c | 2,695$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed Team Falcons | 74c | 2,543$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.3 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 2,356$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.68 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 2,278$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 2,272$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.8 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 1,925$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,590$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.55 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…2fd4backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 1,564$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…b1fbbacked 100 Thieves | 12c | 1,515$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…5e0bbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 1,394$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 1,393$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.22 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…9168backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,293$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,287$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 1,155$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,110$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 3c | 1,020$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Team Falcons | 74c | 999.97$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Falcons | 75c | 888$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed Team Falcons | 73c | 878.33$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.15 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 814.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 777$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Falcons | 76c | 775.78$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.01 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Team Falcons | 75c | 758.45$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.61 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Falcons | 74c | 739$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 725.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 714$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed Team Falcons | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Falcons | 76c | 674.78$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Falcons | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Team Falcons | 76c | 657$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed 100 Thieves | 6c | 630$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 628.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 599.87$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1493…41acbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 559.58$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed 100 Thieves | 10c | 534.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 507.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Team Falcons | 74c | 501$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team Falcons | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 479$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 458.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 451$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…f207backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 380.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6575…c2c7backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…1659backed Team Falcons | 73c | 322.55$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 307.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Falcons | 74c | 303$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 299.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Team Falcons | 74c | 290$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 261.75$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked 100 Thieves | 9c | 249.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 248$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba39…b4b6backed Team Falcons | 74c | 247.48$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 233.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Team Falcons | 73c | 216$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked 100 Thieves | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…4d68backed Team Falcons | 75c | 199.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Team Falcons | 73c | 195.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…989cbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 174.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 141$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Team Falcons | 76c | 132.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 78cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Team Falcons | 73c | 132$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 132$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…42c5backed Team Falcons | 75c | 125.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…1506backed Team Falcons | 77c | 121.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 119.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 114.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.