CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc93ff873c44678e68d05b09ac36e550dd52135206f720e7c3e67f3bd333467a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 11,895$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.5 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons | 56c | 9,454$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.76 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Team Falcons | 53c | 3,150$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 2,655$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.53 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 1,697$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,490$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.81 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,438$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.09 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,106$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.34 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Team Falcons | 56c | 922.67$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.2 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 512.11$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.21 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 500.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Team Falcons | 56c | 500.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Team Falcons | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Team Falcons | 50c | 492$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 479.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Team Falcons | 52c | 456$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Team Falcons | 51c | 435$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Team Falcons | 57c | 402.72$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Falcons | 56c | 333.87$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 293.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…fa83backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 277.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 276.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 272$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 249.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 226.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 214.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 212$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 173.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Team Falcons | 56c | 173.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 137.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Team Falcons | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 108.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Team Falcons | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Team Falcons | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Falcons | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 72.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Team Falcons | 49c | 48.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…2b73backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 42.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Team Falcons | 53c | 37.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…9ea6backed Team Falcons | 56c | 34.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Team Falcons | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Team Falcons | 50c | 29.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Team Falcons | 52c | 27.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Team Falcons | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Team Falcons | 57c | 24.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Team Falcons | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.