CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37312a5a1a7359bf53fab5fef1d57dd3c4e73a215e61965e2e23708e390695a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof Team Falcons, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $502,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 52c | 49,584$25,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,671.65 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 18,300$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,371.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons | 20c | 13,157$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.87 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Team Falcons | 68c | 12,140$8,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,290.52 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 11,070$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,133.03 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 10,822$4,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.21 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 9,735$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,381.26 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 8,385$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.28 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 8,065$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.85 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 7,673$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,654.63 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 7,606$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.94 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Team Falcons | 67c | 7,060$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.16 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 6,808$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.7 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 5,699$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.31 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d5…bef9backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 5,639$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.21 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.48per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 5,400$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.81 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 5,115$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.25 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 5,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.99 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…ae91backed Team Falcons | 66c | 5,000$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.97 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 4,919$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.75 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 4,800$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.29 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 73c | 4,191$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.07 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 4,000$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.25 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 49c | 3,958$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.54 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Team Falcons | 63c | 3,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.11 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 2,999$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.14 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…1f66backed Team Falcons | 10c | 2,970$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 2,800$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.77 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,637$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.45 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 2,522$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.41 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 2,272$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.05 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…8acbbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 2,159$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 2,036$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.97 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…0cd0backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,019$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Team Falcons | 68c | 2,002$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.33 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 2,000$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.21 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 100 Thieves | 19c | 1,913$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.06 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 1,912$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 1,830$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.15 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 1,772$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,537$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.48 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,503$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.5 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Falcons | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,500$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 100 Thieves | 9c | 1,355$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.88 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 1,345$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.55 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 1,259$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.56 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,233$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.11 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,192$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.37 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed 100 Thieves | 10c | 1,130$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,049$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Team Falcons | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a6d3backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 999$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.16 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Team Falcons | 75c | 996.81$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.61 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 980.18$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.26 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +12.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6be9backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 980.1$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Team Falcons | 60c | 885.1$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.06 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 873.88$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.29 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 816$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.6 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…c5d1backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 804.72$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.97 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Falcons | 51c | 794.66$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.78 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5042backed Team Falcons | 52c | 764.53$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 749.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Team Falcons | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 683.64$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.64 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed 100 Thieves | 10c | 680$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 673.37$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.73 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 670.62$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.01 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons | 20c | 661.49$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Team Falcons | 66c | 639.99$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.59 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Team Falcons | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…96adbacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 588.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 588.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.18 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 568.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.63 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 544.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.26 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Team Falcons | 59c | 511.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Team Falcons | 27c | 505.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…f812backed Team Falcons | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 499.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.99 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 493.43$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.38 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 482.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.24 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Team Falcons | 76c | 460.59$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 453.2$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 443.5$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 59c | 433.01$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.01 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 430.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.53 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 429.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.66 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 428.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.1 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…1718backed Team Falcons | 59c | 414.33$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 404.23$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.54 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 403.19$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.32 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.