CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ed4cd16f3e5a70879f01e7b92764f99c046a76a223465027bfbce03a4d1070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof Team Falcons, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 11,111$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.93 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 6,538$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.04 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 3,150$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,784$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.8 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 1,650$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.98 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Team Falcons | 45c | 791.57$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.21 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 45c | 750$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9208…08c5backed Team Falcons | 45c | 536.44$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…2d0fbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 506.47$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a6d3backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 403.64$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Team Falcons | 45c | 403.64$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.64 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 308.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 303.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 274.52$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 274.32$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Team Falcons | 45c | 213.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed Team Falcons | 52c | 191.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…deddbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 90.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…9ea6backed Team Falcons | 45c | 74.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…9d23backed Team Falcons | 45c | 71.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 64.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…1135backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 57.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 51.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 39.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 20.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.