CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bcfe0dd985711a1ee9d107034bb0dd280e2a6b48eee0665e913de8a73fb12d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 36c | 4,631$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 63c | 2,288$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 34c | 1,764$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.07 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…c3e2backed Under | 65c | 920$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Under | 77c | 776.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 66c | 724$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.28 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under | 65c | 662.62$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.7 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Under | 64c | 615.71$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.05 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Over | 22c | 576.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 26c | 533.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.86 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 65c | 501$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.65 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 29c | 451.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 36c | 451.43$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.91 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Under | 66c | 385$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 78c | 351.7$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.33 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 65c | 305.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 24c | 299.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.88 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 67c | 281.26$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 36c | 226.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Under | 76c | 223.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 67c | 203.24$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Over | 34c | 199.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 33c | 150.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 129$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Over | 34c | 127$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Over | 37c | 125$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 71c | 123.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 65c | 117.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 13c | 110.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 66c | 109.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 35c | 95.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 67c | 94.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 34c | 93.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 35c | 85.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 35c | 83.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 61c | 81.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 63c | 78.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Under | 60c | 77.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Under | 65c | 75.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 67c | 68.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Under | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Under | 64c | 64.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 62.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Under | 72c | 53.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 65c | 52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 33c | 45.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…dc39backed Over | 34c | 44.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked Over | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 32c | 41.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Under | 66c | 36.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 66c | 30.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 39c | 29.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 55c | 26.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…426ebacked Under | 77c | 25.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…a87fbacked Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Under | 64c | 22.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Under | 56c | 21.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…9d23backed Under | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 54c | 18.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 63c | 18.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 63c | 17.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…6435backed Under | 69c | 15.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.