CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc394bf16191ed6d9023e9a2061492a48b62c890236395d2307a481902b868c19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof Team Falcons, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,429,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,477,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,429,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 288,742$57,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231,560.34 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 77c | 94,648$73,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,016.01 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 70,000$12,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,079.94 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 64,241$41,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,615.07 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed 100 Thieves | 7c | 59,493$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,257.71 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 51,119$11,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,169.6 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 45,754$6,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,474.16 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…9357backed Team Falcons | 1c | 25,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves | 13c | 25,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,750 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 25,000$18,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,875 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves | 13c | 20,196$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,570.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…aa4fbacked Team Falcons | 2c | 19,514$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 19,051$5,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,554.9 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 17,500$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,374.15 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 17,333$11,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,990.08 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Falcons | 76c | 16,622$12,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,609.98 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d5…bef9backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 16,212$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,387.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.48per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39af…dd9dbacked Team Falcons | 2c | 12,586$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfb…076abacked Team Falcons | 0c | 11,027$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 10,164$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,354.94 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.99 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…62e6backed Team Falcons | 78c | 9,500$7,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,406.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 9,390$5,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,533.59 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked Team Falcons | 75c | 9,200$6,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,898.58 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 9,055$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.18 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Team Falcons | 79c | 8,732$6,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,914.75 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 8,625$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.6 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed 100 Thieves | 9c | 8,484$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,690.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 8,132$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940.66 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 7,863$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380.98 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 14c | 7,353$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.68 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 7,132$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.46 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 7,041$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,984.85 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 7,035$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.61 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Team Falcons | 61c | 6,433$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.05 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 100 Thieves | 6c | 6,405$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,002.09 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 6,056$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.96 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 5,496$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.2 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Team Falcons | 76c | 5,446$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.77 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed 100 Thieves | 4c | 5,364$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.87 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 5,300$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 5,260$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.09 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons | 76c | 5,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 4,916$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.55 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Team Falcons | 78c | 4,517$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.2 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Team Falcons | 75c | 4,400$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.95 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Team Falcons | 76c | 4,273$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.61 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 4,000$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.32 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…f207backed Team Falcons | 75c | 3,961$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.39 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Team Falcons | 76c | 3,954$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.98 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Team Falcons | 4c | 3,877$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…1659backed Team Falcons | 76c | 3,823$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Team Falcons | 78c | 3,798$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.56 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons | 50c | 3,585$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.09 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.43 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 3,450$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.8 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Team Falcons | 80c | 3,426$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 3,363$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.04 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 3,249$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.72 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 3,134$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.59 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…50e7backed Team Falcons | 14c | 3,107$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Team Falcons | 77c | 2,961$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.27 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 2,925$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.1 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Team Falcons | 7c | 2,906$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.14 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…cf36backed Team Falcons | 78c | 2,799$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 2,600$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 2,550$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.5 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed Team Falcons | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 2,370$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Team Falcons | 78c | 2,367$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.24 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,266$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 2,210$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.66 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 2,200$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.48 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 2,185$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.63 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 2,184$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.33 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 2,126$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 2,030$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.05 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 2,011$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.83 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 2,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…ec86backed Team Falcons | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…8cf8backed Team Falcons | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a6d3backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 2,000$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…b186backed Team Falcons | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 100 Thieves | 78c | 1,981$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.16 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…a003backed Team Falcons | 2c | 1,926$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 1,884$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.8 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 20c | 1,880$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.46 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 1,877$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.33 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Falcons | 22c | 1,856$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,833$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.97 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 1,821$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.43 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 1,800$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.17 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked 100 Thieves | 6c | 1,702$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.64 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Team Falcons | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7ac6backed Team Falcons | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed Team Falcons | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked Team Falcons | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0c87backed Team Falcons | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.