TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe183…62e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT7934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+212.5%+$136
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+264.9%+$63.62
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$53.99
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$109.99
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+257.1%+$144
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+509.5%+$104.93
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.99
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Suns vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$53.46
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.69
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+368.7%+$81.4
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+138.1%+$57.22
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,560
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$9,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,482.8
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$9,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,720
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.09
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17,912Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15,884.6
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,949.17
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,406.99
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,079Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+167.9%+$8,528.58
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$15,000
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17,557Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+38%+$6,677.9
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16,464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4,917.77
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13,775Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$11,224.59
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,915Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,173.95
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17,586Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49%+$8,615.98
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,630
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,553.17
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,599.98
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,799.96
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,314Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,643.82
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,030Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$3,035.95
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winnerbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.52
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.02
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,058.54
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,082.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$9,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25%+$2,400
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$7,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,799.99
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,650
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,889.8
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$13,399.99
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,323
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,750
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$11,800
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$5,800
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,438Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8,201.38
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,968.58
Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,754.98
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$7,349.98
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,100
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,470
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,700
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$5,380
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,422Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3,275.12
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,504.41
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$3,112.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,842.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.