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NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Warriors, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,471,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,478,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,471,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 735 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56fc…733ebacked Jazz30c149,982$44,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,994.529857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors70c73,925$52,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,872.2959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Warriors73c71,217$51,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,228.675658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors75c59,978$44,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,067.3751844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Jazz27c56,512$15,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,076.445139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors72c50,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,999.9687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Jazz26c45,082$11,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,74710547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz27c35,312$9,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,534.3260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz28c34,521$9,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,590.492,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Jazz27c34,078$9,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,090.9319560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Jazz14c33,027$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,710.4748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors74c30,185$22,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,843.992,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Warriors77c26,909$20,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,063.945,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Jazz25c26,105$6,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,526.516651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Jazz27c25,970$6,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,973.3228742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors70c24,686$17,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,333.763,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Jazz26c21,000$5,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,548.714244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz14c20,160$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8611,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz28c20,056$5,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,615.681,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors74c20,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9935450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz6c17,671$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.241,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz24c16,500$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,934.9847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors74c15,975$11,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,203.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Jazz26c15,419$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,008.9923257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Jazz29c15,000$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3505648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors71c15,000$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Warriors74c13,514$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.5120758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Warriors76c12,631$9,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.1548944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Warriors73c12,556$9,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,390.1617356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors74c12,255$9,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.944,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42c…f6aabacked Jazz25c12,250$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick40cpaid+77.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Warriors73c12,000$8,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,22019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3644…6fdfbacked Warriors77c11,988$9,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,757.241668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors72c11,658$8,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,264.182,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz2c10,212$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.561,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Warriors70c10,011$7,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.9948956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Jazz28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8005749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Jazz0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9827424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Jazz26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9737539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz4c9,781$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Warriors77c9,125$7,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.276165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz27c8,285$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Jazz24c8,115$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.0939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz25c8,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.991,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors73c7,587$5,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.4930845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Jazz26c7,565$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9675945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Warriors74c7,000$5,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.3610236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Jazz26c6,962$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.6926247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors76c6,924$5,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Jazz21c6,313$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30016550.3%83 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Warriors74c6,263$4,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.153,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Jazz11c6,155$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.2831430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Warriors77c6,101$4,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.317850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Jazz25c5,600$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.0314334.3%49 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Jazz28c5,553$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.7228439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz25c5,363$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33050838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Jazz31c5,161$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60038046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Jazz24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Jazz30c4,667$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40021143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeed9…6546backed Jazz27c4,625$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.831060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz26c4,463$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.144,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Warriors78c4,283$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.4695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Warriors72c3,950$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.2935251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Warriors73c3,904$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.116848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz19c3,855$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.1895641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors71c3,658$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.911,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Jazz8c3,635$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.355932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz28c3,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0081,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Jazz28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz6c3,450$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3481529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Jazz27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Jazz46c3,000$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3901,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Jazz14c2,946$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42445838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Warriors63c2,838$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.4661851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Jazz12c2,807$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Jazz4c2,758$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6115274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Jazz23c2,729$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.3320847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz26c2,709$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.232,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors75c2,698$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz5c2,609$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.673,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors79c2,560$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz16c2,516$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.562,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Warriors73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6757258.3%42 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91eb…9325backed Jazz23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Jazz23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9964139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Warriors76c2,470$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.6615656.4%88 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Warriors74c2,414$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.622,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jazz23c2,400$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked Warriors73c2,361$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.662860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Warriors76c2,323$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.585242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed Jazz25c2,323$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.85156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Jazz26c2,310$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.635531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz23c2,302$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.095,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Jazz7c2,300$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.249117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Jazz24c2,222$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.1713543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.