NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdbd459e0751cff987321e9d2540c4f8787f03f0753c288c4956389d117051f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,471,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,478,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,471,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 735 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Jazz | 30c | 149,982$44,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,994.52 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 70c | 73,925$52,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,872.29 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Warriors | 73c | 71,217$51,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,228.67 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 75c | 59,978$44,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,067.37 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Jazz | 27c | 56,512$15,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,076.44 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 72c | 50,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.96 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Jazz | 26c | 45,082$11,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,747 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Jazz | 27c | 35,312$9,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,534.32 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jazz | 28c | 34,521$9,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,590.49 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Jazz | 27c | 34,078$9,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,090.93 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Jazz | 14c | 33,027$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.47 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 74c | 30,185$22,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,843.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 77c | 26,909$20,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,063.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Jazz | 25c | 26,105$6,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,526.51 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Jazz | 27c | 25,970$6,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,973.32 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 70c | 24,686$17,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Jazz | 26c | 21,000$5,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,548.7 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz | 14c | 20,160$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 28c | 20,056$5,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,615.68 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz | 6c | 17,671$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.24 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Jazz | 24c | 16,500$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.98 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 74c | 15,975$11,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,203.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Jazz | 26c | 15,419$4,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008.99 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Jazz | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 71c | 15,000$10,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Warriors | 74c | 13,514$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.51 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Warriors | 76c | 12,631$9,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.15 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Warriors | 73c | 12,556$9,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.16 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 74c | 12,255$9,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…f6aabacked Jazz | 25c | 12,250$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Warriors | 73c | 12,000$8,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…6fdfbacked Warriors | 77c | 11,988$9,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 72c | 11,658$8,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.18 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz | 2c | 10,212$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Warriors | 70c | 10,011$7,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.99 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Jazz | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Jazz | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Jazz | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.97 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 4c | 9,781$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Warriors | 77c | 9,125$7,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.27 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz | 27c | 8,285$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Jazz | 24c | 8,115$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.09 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Jazz | 25c | 8,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 73c | 7,587$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.49 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Jazz | 26c | 7,565$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Warriors | 74c | 7,000$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.36 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Jazz | 26c | 6,962$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.69 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 76c | 6,924$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Jazz | 21c | 6,313$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 74c | 6,263$4,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Jazz | 11c | 6,155$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.28 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Warriors | 77c | 6,101$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.31 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Jazz | 25c | 5,600$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.03 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Jazz | 28c | 5,553$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.72 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz | 25c | 5,363$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Jazz | 31c | 5,161$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Jazz | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Jazz | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Jazz | 30c | 4,667$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed9…6546backed Jazz | 27c | 4,625$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 26c | 4,463$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Warriors | 78c | 4,283$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.46 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Warriors | 72c | 3,950$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.29 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Warriors | 73c | 3,904$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.11 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Jazz | 19c | 3,855$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.18 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 71c | 3,658$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.91 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Jazz | 8c | 3,635$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.35 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 28c | 3,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Jazz | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz | 6c | 3,450$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.34 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Jazz | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Jazz | 46c | 3,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Jazz | 14c | 2,946$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 63c | 2,838$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.46 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jazz | 12c | 2,807$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Jazz | 4c | 2,758$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Jazz | 23c | 2,729$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.33 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz | 26c | 2,709$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.23 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors | 75c | 2,698$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.5 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz | 5c | 2,609$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 79c | 2,560$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.75 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jazz | 16c | 2,516$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.56 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Warriors | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91eb…9325backed Jazz | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Jazz | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Warriors | 76c | 2,470$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.66 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 74c | 2,414$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.62 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Jazz | 23c | 2,400$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Warriors | 73c | 2,361$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.66 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Warriors | 76c | 2,323$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.58 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Jazz | 25c | 2,323$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Jazz | 26c | 2,310$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 23c | 2,302$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.09 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Jazz | 7c | 2,300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Jazz | 24c | 2,222$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.17 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Jazzthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.