NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccc5714dae5a00947f67aba17abf7a1b9b3197357b128b44422184dae08449e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,015,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,018,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,015,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 48c | 510,661$245,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,543.48 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Jazz | 52c | 350,000$182,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 47c | 316,727$149,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,844.42 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Jazz | 53c | 149,904$79,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,448.9 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz | 52c | 120,700$62,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,764.18 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Jazz | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Jazz | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Jazz | 52c | 29,556$15,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,353 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Jazz | 52c | 25,644$13,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,441.25 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Jazz | 53c | 24,849$13,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,169.72 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jazz | 52c | 17,702$9,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,204.86 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Jazz | 50c | 16,397$8,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,198.73 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz | 53c | 14,875$7,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,831.49 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Warriors | 49c | 14,263$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,262.7 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Warriors | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.99 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Jazz | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Warriors | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Jazz | 52c | 9,999$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.48 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Jazz | 53c | 9,542$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.14 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 51c | 9,200$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 53c | 7,380$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.14 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Jazz | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.5 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Warriors | 49c | 6,500$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Jazz | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Jazz | 50c | 5,767$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.61 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Jazz | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 50c | 5,505$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Jazz | 52c | 5,031$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Jazz | 53c | 4,284$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Jazz | 25c | 4,236$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.87 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 55c | 4,045$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Jazz | 51c | 3,810$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.23 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Warriors | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Warriors | 48c | 3,115$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.98 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 52c | 3,006$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Jazz | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Jazz | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Jazz | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.89 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Warriors | 48c | 2,936$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.97 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 74c | 2,837$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Warriors | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Jazz | 49c | 2,508$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.84 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jazz | 53c | 2,233$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.15 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 48c | 2,197$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Warriors | 47c | 2,189$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.29 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Jazz | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Warriors | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Warriors | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Jazz | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 47c | 1,820$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.65 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 51c | 1,759$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 49c | 841.84$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.34 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Warriors | 48c | 763.95$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.26 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Jazz | 53c | 745.45$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.09 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Warriors | 50c | 640.79$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Warriors | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Jazz | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ce…97a7backed Jazz | 52c | 604.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.76 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Jazz | 48c | 583.53$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.09 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Jazz | 52c | 540$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Warriors | 47c | 517.16$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.09 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Warriors | 47c | 469.45$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.28 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Warriors | 51c | 459.96$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.38 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Jazz | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 49c | 419.92$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.91 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Jazz | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Jazz | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Jazz | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…b098backed Warriors | 48c | 321.46$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…9d9fbacked Warriors | 48c | 304.71$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Warriors | 48c | 301.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Warriors | 50c | 290.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Jazz | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Jazz | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Jazz | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Warriors | 48c | 270$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Warriors | 50c | 250.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Warriors | 48c | 246.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Warriors | 48c | 246.28$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Jazz | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Warriors | 47c | 228.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…413dbacked Warriors | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc7…4880backed Warriors | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Warriors | 48c | 207.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Jazz | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Jazz | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Jazz | 49c | 204.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Jazz | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed Jazz | 50c | 199.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Jazz | 50c | 199.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Warriors | 49c | 198.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. JazzWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.