TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c100,072$50,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,077.712,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c49,000$24,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,009.621,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c24,795$12,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,307.82,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under49c11,000$5,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,39024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c9,394$4,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60337747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Under51c6,767$3,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,451.1613239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc524…0145backed Over46c4,097$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.384100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c2,809$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Over52c2,552$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.412143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c2,238$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fc…7141backed Under54c2,232$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over48c2,092$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.9618536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c1,928$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.022,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…e150backed Under54c1,864$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,771$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c1,621$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.073,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Over52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4625847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c1,355$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.482,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c1,306$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.073,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over52c1,126$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.5735747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56012540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c985.39$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.324,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Under49c951.02$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46612454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over71c671.03$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9531144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over52c596.29$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2235749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over51c576$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3722836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under48c499.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9919647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over49c495.97$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9415649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over51c466.05$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Under47c409.68$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.698348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c396.89$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.412,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over51c355$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.951,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over49c320$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.21,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ce…97a7backed Under51c311.33$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.782536%9 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14411926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c282.74$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.895,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under48c265.71$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5444352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over52c263.69$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5727943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under52c256.48$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.444052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under54c249.07$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13432151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under47c232.26$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1627051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c224.27$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.983,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over49c204.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0863447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2751…d10bbacked Under68c198.55$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over52c184.96$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1221645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98a…edacbacked Over52c182.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.743447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c181.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.21,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Over48c171.71$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.596541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over32c157.41$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.733,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4216052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c140.64$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc09b…ab6fbacked Over50c140.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081f…9fcdbacked Under54c129.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under51c127$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.771,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over52c125.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1315849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87f…68d1backed Over52c122.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.611735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under48c115.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6343244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under48c114.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7527144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under53c100.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5336453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5242551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Over51c99.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9316443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under50c98.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over46c96.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3780744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcf…47ddbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5a…7454backed Over52c92.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.59650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under50c82.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.421,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under49c78.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.463,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0318…2fe5backed Under49c78.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.62055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under49c77.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c76.92$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.232,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4762450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e42…a982backed Over52c66.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.842245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under48c64.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3150841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e9f…5cf0backed Under52c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c58.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under52c57.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9545651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1990…5358backed Under66c56.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.951,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under47c54.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.731,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over47c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0953839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c51.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.581,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ec…9667backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2717243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Under51c49.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.147723.4%18 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…af31backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ae…bf68backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b79…a150backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9374…8d7fbacked Over50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012052.5%63 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4621948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.