TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa87f…68d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$42.21
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+92.3%+$58.61
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$109.76
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$202.98
Bruins vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$46.37
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$300
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$91.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$33.89
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24.3
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+150%+$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+108.3%+$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$53.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.