NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x514091b6e238b67eecc216f8b4036a93f2165dd7585a1ee71e2e34850bf797a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Rangers, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,479,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,509,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,479,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Rangers | 43c | 509,618$220,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220,741.25 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Rangers | 44c | 268,459$118,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,114.62 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 58c | 231,068$134,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,036.3 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 55c | 132,312$72,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,123.66 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Islanders | 56c | 75,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Islanders | 57c | 75,000$42,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Islanders | 56c | 63,905$35,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,118.28 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers | 43c | 63,210$27,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,036.17 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Rangers | 46c | 60,000$27,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,600 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 57c | 60,000$34,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,799.94 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 56c | 58,911$33,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,770.63 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Islanders | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,499.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Islanders | 57c | 40,673$23,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,349.6 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Islanders | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,200 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rangers | 43c | 37,712$16,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,216.16 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 55c | 29,271$16,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,166.43 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Islanders | 55c | 25,604$14,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,521.92 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Rangers | 44c | 23,000$10,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,035.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 56c | 20,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,900 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Islanders | 56c | 18,888$10,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,310.72 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f3…3ae5backed Islanders | 54c | 15,411$8,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,089.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7949…1910backed Rangers | 46c | 15,208$6,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,995.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Islanders | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Islanders | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Islanders | 56c | 14,897$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,576.54 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Rangers | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…9076backed Rangers | 44c | 11,400$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,974.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Islanders | 57c | 10,818$6,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.74 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Islanders | 54c | 10,733$5,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,937.33 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 76c | 10,419$7,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.21 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Rangers | 43c | 10,017$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.24 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Rangers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Rangers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders | 56c | 9,663$5,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.2 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Rangers | 43c | 9,482$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.23 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rangers | 43c | 9,060$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.8 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rangers | 43c | 8,930$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Rangers | 43c | 8,300$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 58c | 6,717$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.92 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 42c | 6,500$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Rangers | 0c | 6,379$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Islanders | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Islanders | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Rangers | 42c | 5,750$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.89 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.3 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Islanders | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Islanders | 58c | 5,109$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.77 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Islanders | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Islanders | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Islanders | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Islanders | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Rangers | 45c | 4,999$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.7 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders | 56c | 4,887$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.28 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 55c | 4,241$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.38 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rangers | 0c | 3,912$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers | 43c | 3,825$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.75 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Islanders | 59c | 3,546$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.31 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers | 4c | 3,526$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…1c5fbacked Islanders | 58c | 3,496$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Islanders | 55c | 3,444$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.8 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rangers | 43c | 3,277$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.66 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Rangers | 44c | 3,200$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rangers | 43c | 3,194$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.78 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers | 43c | 3,151$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.93 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Islanders | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Islanders | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Rangers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Islanders | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd9…1dc7backed Islanders | 55c | 2,908$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Rangers | 1c | 2,864$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Islanders | 57c | 2,784$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Islanders | 76c | 2,698$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.84 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Islanders | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 42c | 2,585$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.15 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Rangers | 45c | 2,400$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Islanders | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Rangers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.04 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Islanders | 57c | 2,121$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.17 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Islanders | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Islanders | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Rangers | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Islanders | 55c | 1,970$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers | 28c | 1,968$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.77 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Rangers | 44c | 1,914$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.29 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Islanders | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Rangers | 45c | 1,800$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Islanders | 57c | 1,800$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Islanders | 57c | 1,787$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.31 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Islanders | 55c | 1,762$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.9 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Islanders | 58c | 1,712$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.51 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…5170backed Islanders | 59c | 1,708$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Rangers | 45c | 1,670$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.5 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Rangers | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 27c | 1,602$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Islanders | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Islandersthis page
- Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.