NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x158376b80719b6f0b7d5662138b88da714edcc184512cd904fd9ce61e8fcd5fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 54c | 202,214$108,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,938.29 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 47c | 60,194$28,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,948.93 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Over | 46c | 54,719$25,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,548.28 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 46c | 52,000$23,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,080 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 46c | 16,223$7,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,760.54 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 51c | 8,081$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.14 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 7,527$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 54c | 6,867$3,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,708.18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 48c | 6,000$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.98 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 52c | 3,791$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.1 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 2,796$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.03 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Under | 51c | 2,357$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.07 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 47c | 2,000$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 1,989$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.16 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 1,791$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.41 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Over | 46c | 1,490$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 1,445$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 46c | 1,309$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.86 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 47c | 1,204$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 46c | 1,178$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.12 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 62c | 1,157$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.78 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 1,106$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.32 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Over | 50c | 999.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.94 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 748.97$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.35 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 54c | 701.72$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.93 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Over | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 50c | 651.2$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.05 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Under | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 47c | 599.2$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.51 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 54c | 557$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 552.4$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.3 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff58…42c2backed Under | 53c | 550.94$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Over | 47c | 453.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 53c | 444$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 47c | 291.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Under | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 277.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 47c | 246.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 51c | 211.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 187.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…19dcbacked Under | 60c | 117.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…70ebbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…4ebcbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 54c | 87.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 46c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Over | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Under | 54c | 60.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…b0d3backed Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Over | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Over | 46c | 50.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 53c | 46.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 47c | 43.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…c8fbbacked Over | 50c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Over | 46c | 40.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 51c | 39.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9d9dbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 48c | 31.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 53c | 30.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Under | 55c | 27.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…f7d5backed Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 46c | 25.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…6532backed Over | 46c | 24.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 53cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5this page
- Rangers vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.