NHL · resolved market
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7706919cca346a9398bd6f134a7c3c1cb246ec3feeba3c41dec6bf8c94dcb28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Islanders | 35c | 6,767$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.5 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Rangers | 65c | 3,400$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.3 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 36c | 1,618$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.26 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rangers | 65c | 1,556$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.4 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 66c | 1,180$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.78 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Islanders | 34c | 1,032$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.32 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rangers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Rangers | 65c | 571.42$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.42 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Rangers | 64c | 388.44$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.6 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Rangers | 65c | 379.15$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Rangers | 65c | 369.23$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Islanders | 76c | 300$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Islanders | 36c | 276.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 78c | 248.09$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 47c | 243$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…cc45backed Rangers | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Rangers | 65c | 230$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 63c | 226$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Islanders | 61c | 195$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Rangers | 9c | 159.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Islanders | 36c | 141.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Islanders | 35c | 139.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers | 65c | 137.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Islanders | 11c | 106.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rangers | 65c | 104$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Islanders | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Islanders | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Rangers | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 65c | 78.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Islanders | 34c | 67.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Islanders | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Islanders | 35c | 57.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rangers | 65c | 52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Islanders | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Islanders | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rangers | 63c | 46.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Rangers | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Rangers | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Rangers | 63c | 38.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Rangers | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Rangers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Rangers | 65c | 28.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…4a34backed Rangers | 80c | 22.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +1,156.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Rangers | 65c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…c351backed Rangers | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Rangers | 67c | 15.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 263 | 57.8%152 W · 111 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.