TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x788f…c351

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexican Open: Adam Walton vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.1
Pune: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Lia Karatanchevabacked Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.33
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.84
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.29
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ignacio Busebacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.44
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passarobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.06
Delray Beach Open: Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.68
Rotterdam Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+39.1%+$5.86
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.18
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+55.5%+$6.11
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37.6%+$6.56
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+53.3%+$12.52
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+64%+$7.03
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+29.1%+$3.61
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.07
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.88
VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.42
Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyasbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Flames vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.05
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.06
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.1
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.6%+$10.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+32.1%+$3.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.