NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ac0e67a22d8ac94ff95cc62da38271c1a3e9c96230bfe5543bdf3d01d2c7855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 51c | 189,652$97,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,557.19 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 84,814$41,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,287.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 60,157$29,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,681.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,399.99 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 52,766$25,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,998.71 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 17,361$8,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,975.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 47c | 9,500$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 6,911$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…9d5ebacked Over | 48c | 5,590$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2c…6dfdbacked Over | 48c | 5,232$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x836e…4819backed Over | 48c | 5,106$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.94 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 4,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 3,671$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.85 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 49c | 3,435$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.93 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 48c | 2,317$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.93 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 2,271$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.38 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,208$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.94 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…152cbacked Under | 52c | 2,188$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…6788backed Over | 48c | 2,188$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…7557backed Under | 52c | 2,052$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.49 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.2 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…38c8backed Under | 52c | 1,925$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…ecddbacked Under | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75e…df38backed Under | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…ffcfbacked Under | 52c | 1,745$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…508fbacked Under | 52c | 1,738$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2f…c880backed Under | 52c | 1,673$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 1,664$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.28 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 49c | 1,590$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.24 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…0bc6backed Under | 52c | 1,581$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…af56backed Under | 52c | 1,508$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.25 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,191$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.39 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,014$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 41c | 1,014$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.67 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 49c | 961$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.11 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 49c | 952.03$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.15 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Over | 44c | 768$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.92 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 51c | 764.71$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.71 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Under | 51c | 485.29$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.79 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 50c | 439.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 7c | 423.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 411.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.28 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 411.83$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 392.02$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.23 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 30c | 389.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 51c | 357.45$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Over | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 50c | 268$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 54c | 229.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…c6adbacked Over | 53c | 222$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Under | 52c | 190.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 49c | 187.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 141.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 48c | 139.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 49c | 138.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 121.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 47c | 111.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 100.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 53c | 93.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 49c | 71.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 50c | 70.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 49c | 70.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 48c | 62.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Over | 50c | 60.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 49c | 59.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568c…d2a9backed Over | 42c | 58.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Miles McBride: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.