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NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over46c145,988$67,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,628.0121057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under54c125,433$67,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,701.7220055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over45c109,821$49,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,419.4154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under55c85,421$46,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,439.451,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5002,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c8,529$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,178.992,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ed…108bbacked Over44c7,012$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x501a…5c58backed Over44c6,938$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd818…b2eabacked Over46c5,405$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef7…637ebacked Over46c5,335$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dff…1534backed Over46c5,309$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c4,619$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under52c4,539$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.5134654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under51c4,539$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.921250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfca8…28cbbacked Over44c4,011$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7119…30f2backed Under56c4,011$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd337…2140backed Under56c3,688$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c72…db9cbacked Under56c3,122$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x195c…06a3backed Under56c3,100$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53f3…e913backed Under56c3,044$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x704e…ba96backed Over44c2,589$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c2,453$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.524,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc4…3442backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf7b…528cbacked Under54c1,988$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ab…4860backed Under54c1,915$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Under50c1,884$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94210459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf756…2459backed Under54c1,867$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ecb…6d41backed Under54c1,802$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbc…5a85backed Under54c1,746$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1072…a1cbbacked Under54c1,623$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2f2…b95dbacked Under54c1,589$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.812,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fe…fef6backed Under54c1,519$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c1,437$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over48c1,005$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5722643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb54f…3ed0backed Under56c924$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd380…76a6backed Under56c889$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3f…e0adbacked Over51c813.73$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4151233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6250…e2c6backed Under56c776$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2de…bd7fbacked Under56c772$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c604.23$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under53c599.6$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.811,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c581$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over46c531.39$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.1384150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Over46c525.41$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.698339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c512.74$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7733150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over44c474.63$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.783,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed Under64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.755261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c439$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over46c347.83$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under55c330.18$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5815649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under56c302.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2819135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12a4…1e46backed Under56c224$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under51c204.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8226956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8217353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Under59c170.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1133246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c169.66$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.323,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1f…c6adbacked Over50c155$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.55950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c135$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.523,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over45c133.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under62c111.71$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.711,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over47c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3553839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over41c98.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.192,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over42c79.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over45c68.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.850841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.561,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over23c59.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de1…35f3backed Under55c46.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.112454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2906…29cbbacked Over40c44.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over41c36.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under62c35.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under53c34.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0817155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Under55c33.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.928149.4%40 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c2…57aabacked Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb986…d032backed Under59c27.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.123554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Under59c21.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.814949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.