NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d564ef84f667a4ea9d109ef6c975478ba79d410c666cbd074bdc90d1b259c87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 46c | 36,075$16,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,538.37 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 56c | 14,472$8,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,367.48 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 4,017$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 3,545$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.27 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 3,538$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Under | 53c | 2,844$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.67 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 55c | 2,715$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.71 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Under | 66c | 1,866$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.1 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 58c | 1,680$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.68 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 1,556$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.76 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 1,368$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.07 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 1,055$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.86 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Under | 52c | 890.88$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.62 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 656.1$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Over | 43c | 580.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 55c | 572.83$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.77 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 56c | 534.38$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.12 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Under | 54c | 418.52$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.52 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 50c | 408.35$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.18 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 42c | 367.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Over | 42c | 345.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 44c | 341$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 54c | 184.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Over | 40c | 167.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 156$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 56c | 136.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 22c | 129.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Under | 58c | 117.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 113.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 46c | 105.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Under | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 36c | 84.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…a441backed Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…dc78backed Under | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 43c | 70.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Over | 44c | 67.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 55c | 63.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 52.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 53c | 51.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…74e1backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…82dcbacked Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 57c | 39.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…18fabacked Under | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 58c | 37.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889b…bbaebacked Under | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 59c | 29.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 47c | 29.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd023…8e17backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…1a9cbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…a150backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…c438backed Under | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Miles McBride: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.