NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62121da76f0891e90e0f9251d1a56b970873a1008f26a73bead25c725af0b390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Raptors, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Knicks | 49c | 20,408$9,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,451.14 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 51c | 15,525$7,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,917.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Knicks | 44c | 14,711$6,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,237.92 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 49c | 9,631$4,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.69 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 53c | 9,541$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 51c | 8,423$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.58 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 49c | 6,402$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e23…8972backed Knicks | 50c | 5,562$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…0e7bbacked Knicks | 50c | 5,308$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e08…5708backed Knicks | 50c | 5,073$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…ffcfbacked Knicks | 50c | 4,864$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 58c | 4,736$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.66 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Raptors | 50c | 4,660$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…af56backed Knicks | 50c | 4,250$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…508fbacked Knicks | 50c | 3,877$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Raptors | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 55c | 3,577$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…ecddbacked Raptors | 50c | 3,211$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 47c | 3,165$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.7 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2f…c880backed Raptors | 50c | 2,841$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 55c | 2,805$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.66 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…7557backed Raptors | 50c | 2,648$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 46c | 2,443$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors | 52c | 2,417$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.42 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Knicks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…0c13backed Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…81c0backed Raptors | 50c | 1,995$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa29f…5b81backed Raptors | 50c | 1,929$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…adbebacked Raptors | 50c | 1,847$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…1046backed Raptors | 50c | 1,836$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…cd92backed Raptors | 50c | 1,720$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…4fa8backed Raptors | 50c | 1,569$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2c…80babacked Raptors | 50c | 1,543$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf11…119bbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,504$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2c…6dfdbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,421$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x836e…4819backed Raptors | 50c | 1,208$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…38c8backed Raptors | 50c | 1,021$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Knicks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Knicks | 44c | 978.17$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.51 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 52c | 944.98$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.03 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Raptors | 53c | 874.4$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.43 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Knicks | 47c | 752.17$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.61 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Raptors | 52c | 567.72$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.21 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Knicks | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Raptors | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Knicks | 50c | 442$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Knicks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Raptors | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…9d5ebacked Raptors | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Knicks | 45c | 387$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Raptors | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Knicks | 47c | 331$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Knicks | 44c | 278.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.28 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Knicks | 35c | 242.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Knicks | 50c | 240.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…0bc6backed Raptors | 50c | 232$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…d27abacked Knicks | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc1…aa8bbacked Raptors | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Knicks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…9b52backed Raptors | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…a55abacked Knicks | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…aa74backed Raptors | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad8…c5c3backed Knicks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…8288backed Knicks | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…e9f3backed Raptors | 51c | 198$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a4…f491backed Knicks | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…d3e4backed Raptors | 51c | 194$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…bc50backed Knicks | 50c | 184$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ed…7971backed Raptors | 51c | 184$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Raptors | 63c | 145.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 52c | 140.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Knicks | 49c | 138.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks | 37c | 119.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks | 49c | 117.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Raptors | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3675…e4cdbacked Knicks | 48c | 112.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…f9c9backed Knicks | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Knicks | 49c | 109.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…dedebacked Raptors | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Knicks | 50c | 99.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…6b5dbacked Knicks | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Raptors | 53c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c61…4742backed Knicks | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Knicks | 49c | 67.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Knicks | 48c | 66.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Raptors | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Raptors | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…f654backed Knicks | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…5ce8backed Knicks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Knicks | 48c | 61.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Raptors | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks | 48c | 54.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…bf68backed Knicks | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745e…5975backed Knicks | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…3642backed Knicks | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)this page
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Miles McBride: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.