NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ce08a7c8fecc90ffda8d42d28781c4f454cdd8246df9d2904631d38602c875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Raptors, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $546,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $549,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 49c | 233,424$114,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,377.71 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 51c | 144,319$73,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,716.46 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Knicks | 51c | 75,000$38,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,750 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Knicks | 52c | 56,603$29,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,169.44 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 48c | 52,695$25,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,293.81 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Knicks | 52c | 30,786$15,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,856.77 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 52c | 27,932$14,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,479.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Raptors | 50c | 20,025$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Raptors | 47c | 17,113$8,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,069 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks | 47c | 16,307$7,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,602.88 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Knicks | 48c | 16,026$7,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,333.75 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Raptors | 49c | 9,257$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Knicks | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.99 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Raptors | 47c | 6,767$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.46 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 51c | 5,850$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Raptors | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Knicks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors | 51c | 4,690$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.34 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 51c | 4,255$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.35 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Raptors | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Raptors | 46c | 3,803$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.29 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Raptors | 52c | 3,015$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.76 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Knicks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Knicks | 51c | 2,629$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.08 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Knicks | 50c | 2,268$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Knicks | 50c | 2,005$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.5 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Knicks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Raptors | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 52c | 1,407$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.94 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,402$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks | 51c | 1,397$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Raptors | 52c | 1,166$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.49 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,104$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.69 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Knicks | 51c | 1,074$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.16 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 49c | 1,037$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.72 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Raptors | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Knicks | 50c | 944$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Raptors | 53c | 937.23$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.73 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Raptors | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Knicks | 53c | 539.65$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.94 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Knicks | 52c | 473.54$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.3 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Knicks | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 207 | 28.5%59 W · 148 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Raptors | 54c | 411.9$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Knicks | 47c | 404.04$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Raptors | 49c | 344.39$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors | 49c | 303.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Knicks | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 52c | 237.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Knicks | 53c | 232.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Raptors | 50c | 231.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Knicks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Knicks | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Knicks | 46c | 199.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Knicks | 52c | 195.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Raptors | 47c | 180.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Raptors | 52c | 177.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 63c | 164.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Raptors | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Knicks | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Raptors | 52c | 141.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 49c | 140.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Knicks | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Knicks | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Raptors | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…b90dbacked Knicks | 48c | 103.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Raptors | 53c | 101.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Knicks | 52c | 101.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Knicks | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…63f8backed Knicks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Knicks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Knicks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Knicks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Knicks | 43c | 92.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…7dc5backed Raptors | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Raptors | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Knicks | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Raptors | 49c | 77.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…27aebacked Knicks | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b497backed Knicks | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Knicks | 52c | 57.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Knicks | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Knicks | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Knicks | 45c | 53.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Raptors | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Raptors | 48c | 52.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Raptors | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…b93bbacked Knicks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Knicks | 43c | 47.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Knicks | 50c | 45.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Knicks | 45c | 44.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Raptors | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a8…8707backed Raptors | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Raptors | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Raptors | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Knicks | 52c | 39.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Knicks | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)this page
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Miles McBride: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.