TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x27ec…27ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid+17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+34.1%+$579.5
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.74
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$131.05
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+136.2%+$27.23
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+1,709.6%+$341.92
Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,527.94
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$43.5
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+127.3%+$42
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$40.5
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$29.25
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$23.25
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+222.6%+$86.25
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+100%+$62.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$32.4
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$81
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$63
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$135
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid+171.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+1,715.2%+$1,029.14
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+524.3%+$1,153.41
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.85
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.49
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$115
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nigeria vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$46.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.