NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x917288634187ff458f8fc2625b13b5a72787819ccce97248a45c78aa8209f9ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $378,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 49c | 101,805$49,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,839.34 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Cavaliers | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 47,901$24,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,663.01 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Magic | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.99 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Magic | 49c | 25,441$12,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,466.29 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…9435backed Magic | 49c | 15,800$7,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,742 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…30c8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 15,800$8,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,742 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 49c | 11,854$5,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,808.6 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…b449backed Magic | 1c | 10,500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Cavaliers | 50c | 10,233$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,139.33 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Cavaliers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.51 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…ca3cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 9,526$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Cavaliers | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Magic | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Cavaliers | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.99 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Magic | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Cavaliers | 50c | 6,625$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 6,165$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.52 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Cavaliers | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Magic | 53c | 5,965$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.45 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 51c | 5,701$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.56 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Cavaliers | 51c | 5,669$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.78 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9577…18f5backed Magic | 52c | 5,453$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4821…1b87backed Magic | 52c | 5,451$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…c03cbacked Magic | 52c | 5,414$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24e…bd22backed Magic | 52c | 4,990$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c93…8be1backed Magic | 52c | 4,974$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091c…6c73backed Magic | 52c | 4,937$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Magic | 50c | 4,822$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.58 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3015…5648backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,800$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 49c | 4,696$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.22 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14b…25e5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4365…7722backed Magic | 52c | 4,180$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 49c | 4,090$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…32e7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,893$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…1e8cbacked Magic | 52c | 3,700$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,654$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e5…cf86backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,561$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…82f9backed Magic | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…d30bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Magic | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.97 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 49c | 2,493$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.02 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Magic | 52c | 2,215$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,175$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,025$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…577cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,967$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e1…58b3backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,946$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…0191backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,941$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb325…f1b5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,940$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…4208backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,910$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…a74cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,891$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…23b6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,855$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…03bebacked Magic | 51c | 1,855$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…602bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,853$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…b1c9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,820$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…93a7backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,780$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9174…a5b6backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…aea0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,691$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…87e0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,672$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…d069backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,602$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…e19bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,583$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,577$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…f5b2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,538$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…e85fbacked Magic | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 51c | 1,499$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.38 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…e9a8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,485$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…e750backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,470$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a9…346abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,430$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,383$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.16 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,206$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.47 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…7410backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a71…1b23backed Magic | 49c | 960$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 930.59$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Magic | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed Cavaliers | 51c | 813.73$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Magic | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…31a6backed Magic | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Cavaliers | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 728.94$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.94 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Magic | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Magic | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 645.83$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cavaliers | 51c | 574.73$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.31 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 531.56$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.68 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 52c | 510.6$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 500$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 10.5No won
- De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Magic vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.