TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c40,370$21,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,071.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over45c17,500$7,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,874.912,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under53c9,234$4,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,340.0816752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c7,604$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.075,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2eb…562dbacked Under59c7,043$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over51c6,869$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,503.0221055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under54c4,200$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.992,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over43c3,488$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c3,057$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.963,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over49c3,012$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.773,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over46c3,002$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.8517744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,379$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.163,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Over47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c1,012$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.234,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c941.18$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c880.08$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.643,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb944…250fbacked Under55c814.22$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.763357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c748.68$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.392,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c526.94$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.012,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over53c402.83$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.613,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Under55c367.93$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.573844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Under55c323.02$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.237060%42 W · 28 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Over43c301.8$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3adc…972dbacked Under54c252.78$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.285853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over46c246.24$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under55c222.02$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5111752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed Under55c221.51$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.286055%33 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over46c218$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2835744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under55c180.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0563447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Under55c173.52$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8210659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c158$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Under55c141.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646055%33 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over44c138.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.982,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under45c127$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.854153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Under55c121.78$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1311755.6%65 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Under54c120.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3712652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c118.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.412,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over56c117.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Over54c111.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.994557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe52f…db16backed Under55c108.02$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.93658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7730…a854backed Under54c106.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.08944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…94febacked Under55c104.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.24247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Under55c104.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.197846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under45c104$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.27441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Over50c104$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c102.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Under55c102.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5112752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under55c102$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.92,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Under55c97.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.319753.6%52 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.593661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5921546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c91.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.121,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed Under55c90.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.954341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over51c89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3954351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under55c84.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.098653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Under55c75.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.017650%38 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under53c74.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5245460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c68.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.731,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under54c66.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.765152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over48c66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4668940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Under55c65.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.486160.7%37 W · 24 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over52c57.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309642.7%41 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over48c56.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1845651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under52c54.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.731,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.36753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x862d…bc9bbacked Under55c51.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.467047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6b…7e84backed Under55c48.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.855541.8%23 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd70…843ebacked Under55c47.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Over46c42.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.217155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed Under53c40.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9911644%51 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7187…4dcfbacked Under55c39.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under54c38.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6311555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over52c37.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7443244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c36.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.352,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd16b…0579backed Under55c35.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…5f3cbacked Under54c34.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.96448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeba…d2d8backed Under55c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.947648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under55c32.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6522655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under54c31.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4152246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc1…3e21backed Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over46c30.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8150841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Over55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53540%14 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1873…ff32backed Under54c29.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d3e…6a59backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154161%25 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x103e…062dbacked Under54c29.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.452245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb717…a67fbacked Over55c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.952360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over55c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.951540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over55c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.953759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.