NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83361d1c6f8fdd717b11fa2e4f5e6d1a9e646ec5af6f41672b1d6f30c719ac5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 40,370$21,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,071.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 17,500$7,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,874.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 53c | 9,234$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.08 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 7,604$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2eb…562dbacked Under | 59c | 7,043$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 51c | 6,869$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.02 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 4,200$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 3,057$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.96 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 3,012$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 46c | 3,002$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.85 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 1,379$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.16 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Over | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 1,012$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 941.18$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 880.08$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…250fbacked Under | 55c | 814.22$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.76 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 748.68$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.39 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 526.94$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.01 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 402.83$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Under | 55c | 367.93$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 55c | 323.02$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.23 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Over | 43c | 301.8$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Under | 54c | 252.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 46c | 246.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 55c | 222.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Under | 55c | 221.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 55c | 180.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 55c | 173.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 158$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Under | 55c | 141.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 138.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 45c | 127$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 55c | 121.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Under | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Over | 54c | 111.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…db16backed Under | 55c | 108.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…a854backed Under | 54c | 106.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Under | 55c | 104.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Under | 55c | 104.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 45c | 104$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 102.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 55c | 102.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Under | 55c | 97.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 91.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Under | 55c | 90.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 51c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under | 55c | 84.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Under | 55c | 75.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 53c | 74.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 68.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Under | 54c | 66.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 48c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Under | 55c | 65.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 52c | 57.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 48c | 56.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 54.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…bc9bbacked Under | 55c | 51.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6b…7e84backed Under | 55c | 48.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd70…843ebacked Under | 55c | 47.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 46c | 42.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Under | 53c | 40.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…4dcfbacked Under | 55c | 39.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 54c | 38.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 52c | 37.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 36.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…0579backed Under | 55c | 35.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…5f3cbacked Under | 54c | 34.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 55c | 32.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 54c | 31.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…3e21backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 46c | 30.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…ff32backed Under | 54c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…6a59backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…062dbacked Under | 54c | 29.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 10.5No won
- De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Magic vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.