TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c10…e249backed Under52c5,445$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c4…f30cbacked Under52c4,972$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeaa…f795backed Under52c4,945$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.64100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63ea…aea0backed Under52c4,941$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c18…c8a8backed Over48c4,684$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.3240%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cfe…7058backed Under52c4,448$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa293…0191backed Under52c4,448$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2bc…beccbacked Over48c4,364$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.7240%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd69e…0b4fbacked Over48c4,111$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.2840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14b3…aea1backed Under52c3,911$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd0…ed12backed Under52c3,152$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c2,959$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b07…bebdbacked Under52c2,102$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ac9…d069backed Over48c1,994$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdace…016fbacked Over48c1,988$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd95b…0c36backed Over48c1,976$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36d…0ebfbacked Over48c1,874$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a9…346abacked Over48c1,833$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over55c1,730$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x497e…8233backed Over48c1,684$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5243…9e0abacked Over48c1,657$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c1,647$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d30…602bbacked Over48c1,643$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x723d…4208backed Over48c1,575$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2198…dd9dbacked Over48c1,547$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d92…24d5backed Over48c1,518$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c93…8be1backed Over48c1,465$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8663…b890backed Over48c1,456$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb28…4f87backed Over48c1,441$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad19…a660backed Under52c1,254$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b2…07a8backed Under52c1,021$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f45…c1f3backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb174…707cbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1e…7dabbacked Over48c939$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4acd…0ea9backed Over48c925$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9577…18f5backed Over48c879$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb67c…7a75backed Over48c805$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d58…875ebacked Under52c755$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over44c593.68$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1243244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under62c539.53$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20690957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f24…6fb8backed Under52c511$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over28c444.22$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.341,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf682…c236backed Under52c422$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed Under49c411.22$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.721283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+55.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Over45c397$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8914949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1257…793fbacked Under61c299.96$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over48c282.75$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7240146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over40c211.57$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over38c199.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7125840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c6…95a0backed Under54c166.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.761241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over43c166.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.71,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c163.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.736653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Over43c139$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.778552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under43c127.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.993,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under61c126.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.381,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over41c126.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd326…3da7backed Over39c109.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-44.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over39c102.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.823,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4742551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4641354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee82…1965backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.596665.2%43 W · 23 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c81.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.143,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168e…98b3backed Under62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Over47c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.728759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Under61c75.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.354660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under30c72.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6862347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8458…17eabacked Over70c72.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Over37c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.617353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over42c51.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.723,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.395156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2b…0308backed Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7e…719fbacked Under52c48.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.051353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under70c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over37c42.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.931,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c40.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.895,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under51c40.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8911555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed Over47c40.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9911644%51 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f0…df87backed Under53c40.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.993554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over42c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.965,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484369.8%30 W · 13 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under62c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5437959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e6…5a30backed Under63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7def…a19abacked Under52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over43c30.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb423…3562backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb1…5ddabacked Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.32190.5%19 W · 2 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+44%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked Under57c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.043250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b73…a19dbacked Under57c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.042867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Under53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.163336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed Under53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.163441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Under57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.753458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450a…a7debacked Under61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.59757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Under57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.325048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.