NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9711aa394d2a6f70db883ce4263ecf244b5907fb6c8d00eec66b4160b591e6d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Under | 54c | 180,434$96,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,861.22 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 39,494$18,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,374.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Under | 52c | 31,257$16,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,010.22 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 51c | 18,000$9,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,179.97 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 14,087$6,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,529.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 45c | 10,753$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 8,207$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.99 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 5,900$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.65 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 4,731$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.41 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 4,228$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 47c | 4,172$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 47c | 3,937$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.26 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 3,605$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 52c | 2,696$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.88 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 2,600$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.59 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 52c | 2,544$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.01 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 2,445$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.91 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 49c | 2,314$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.29 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 2,041$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 48c | 1,850$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 46c | 1,079$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.42 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 1,060$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.87 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 45c | 1,030$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 48c | 1,013$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.02 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Over | 45c | 844$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.53 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 46c | 813.73$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.41 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 698.01$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.97 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 47c | 694.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.93 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 52c | 630.07$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.64 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 605.42$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.77 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 601.16$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 547.57$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 519.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.3 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 46c | 515.19$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 44c | 453.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.14 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Over | 48c | 444.25$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.24 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 46c | 430.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 340.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd1…c7debacked Over | 45c | 293$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 214.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…7e16backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 55c | 194$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 53c | 177.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 131.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 45c | 128.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 39c | 119$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…413dbacked Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Over | 47c | 108.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…8c8bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 50c | 98.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 48c | 91.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…4ebcbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 52c | 82.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 51c | 79.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Over | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Over | 49c | 61.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…b35bbacked Over | 49c | 60.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…60a4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…5c6bbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…20abbacked Under | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…567bbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4436backed Under | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 10.5No won
- De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Magic vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.