NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f3f168f17b7a03e25a68ae5f4a903ab04dd7df398c33aa9f12047c9bfd00811
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 10,472$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 10,161$5,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 52c | 6,767$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.75 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 5,765$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 5,600$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…0ea9backed Over | 53c | 5,442$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…31a6backed Over | 52c | 5,418$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 49c | 5,133$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.77 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…7410backed Over | 52c | 4,994$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…4f87backed Over | 53c | 4,981$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…93a7backed Over | 52c | 4,400$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…87e0backed Under | 48c | 3,900$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 53c | 3,674$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…577cbacked Under | 48c | 3,400$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 3,138$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.21 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…f5b2backed Over | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,787$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.32 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 51c | 2,685$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.65 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…9023backed Over | 53c | 2,574$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…f17ebacked Over | 53c | 2,574$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…6ad0backed Under | 47c | 2,566$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…c50fbacked Under | 47c | 2,564$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…ccc8backed Under | 47c | 2,563$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb41…03e7backed Under | 47c | 2,563$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f0…5766backed Over | 53c | 2,563$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…1ea6backed Under | 47c | 2,559$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…5105backed Under | 47c | 2,555$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…a8d6backed Under | 47c | 2,554$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…3814backed Over | 53c | 2,553$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa471…3c1abacked Over | 53c | 2,552$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…535cbacked Under | 47c | 2,544$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…1e2bbacked Over | 53c | 2,542$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…81d4backed Over | 53c | 2,542$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36d…8082backed Over | 53c | 2,542$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564c…50aebacked Over | 53c | 2,536$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +69%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7000…9800backed Over | 53c | 2,536$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…8dedbacked Over | 53c | 2,536$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…9938backed Under | 47c | 2,536$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1825…a2ccbacked Under | 47c | 2,533$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…9692backed Over | 53c | 2,531$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…f442backed Under | 47c | 2,525$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…977fbacked Under | 47c | 2,522$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…0c36backed Under | 47c | 1,972$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4365…7722backed Under | 48c | 1,937$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…7058backed Under | 47c | 1,904$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…c818backed Under | 48c | 1,894$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36d…0ebfbacked Under | 47c | 1,888$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…1e8cbacked Under | 48c | 1,866$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb14b…25e5backed Under | 48c | 1,705$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…9e0abacked Under | 47c | 1,678$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 39c | 1,660$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.84 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091c…6c73backed Under | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3015…5648backed Under | 48c | 1,587$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2198…dd9dbacked Under | 47c | 1,566$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,557$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.15 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 55c | 1,501$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.45 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 1,481$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.02 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 1,455$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.69 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…e85fbacked Under | 48c | 1,423$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…f30cbacked Under | 47c | 1,415$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,328$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 1,242$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.06 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 51c | 1,238$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.96 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4821…1b87backed Over | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 78c | 1,155$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.31 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 1,124$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…e9a8backed Over | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 33c | 1,024$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 55c | 890$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 47c | 663.76$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.66 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 651.98$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.67 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e1…58b3backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 591.03$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 541.2$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 57c | 536$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.08 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 73c | 374.53$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…793fbacked Over | 54c | 370.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 45c | 335$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 297.87$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Over | 55c | 291.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 246.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 59c | 221.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 52c | 199$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…d15ebacked Under | 47c | 193.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 47c | 186.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 184.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 10.5No won
- De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Magic vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.