NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a787e4b004eb908e8337712b6979a26bf1d6ef6a88e2f0c0e123e56d9e89f77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $693,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $705,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $693,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 46c | 386,791$178,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,122.31 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 143,972$77,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,227.3 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,999.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Magic | 46c | 80,052$36,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,917.97 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Cavaliers | 54c | 65,000$35,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,650 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 54c | 37,729$20,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,354.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 47c | 28,529$13,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,453.47 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 25,814$13,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,070.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 52c | 10,921$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,242.08 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Magic | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Cavaliers | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Cavaliers | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.73 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Magic | 47c | 6,402$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8dd0backed Magic | 48c | 6,230$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers | 53c | 5,965$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.72 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 43c | 5,527$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e1…58b3backed Cavaliers | 52c | 5,451$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…c818backed Cavaliers | 53c | 5,432$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Cavaliers | 54c | 5,321$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…e85fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 4,982$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…e9a8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,938$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 3,392$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,045$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.3 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Cavaliers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,987$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.8 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Magic | 47c | 2,915$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cavaliers | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…0f1ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,640$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 47c | 2,178$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.66 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a74…c352backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…31a6backed Magic | 47c | 1,981$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…577cbacked Magic | 48c | 1,963$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…f5b2backed Magic | 48c | 1,927$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3015…5648backed Magic | 47c | 1,901$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb14b…25e5backed Magic | 47c | 1,842$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…87e0backed Magic | 48c | 1,814$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,734$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…93a7backed Magic | 48c | 1,680$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…7410backed Magic | 47c | 1,663$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 48c | 1,610$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5363…d207backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,597$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.82 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,594$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.94 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 45c | 1,588$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4821…1b87backed Magic | 48c | 1,561$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4365…7722backed Magic | 47c | 1,550$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,543$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.48 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Magic | 45c | 1,530$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.3 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…1e8cbacked Magic | 47c | 1,477$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Magic | 22c | 1,462$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.24 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091c…6c73backed Magic | 48c | 1,444$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,414$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.41 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,300$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 21c | 1,178$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Magic | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Magic | 14c | 1,010$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Magic | 48c | 1,001$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Magic | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers | 52c | 882.71$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.7 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Magic | 13c | 881.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 53c | 822.78$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…d0f5backed Magic | 45c | 789$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Cavaliers | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 27c | 679.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…da0ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Magic | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Cavaliers | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Cavaliers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Magic | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Cavaliers | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Magic | 46c | 499$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.54 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 12c | 490.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers | 53c | 466$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.02 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Magic | 23c | 439.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Cavaliers | 55c | 425$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Magic | 49c | 408.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Cavaliers | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 367.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.81 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 358$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e3…921fbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 352$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 58c | 346.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 46c | 341.58$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Magic | 31c | 339.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Magic | 45c | 335$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Cavaliers | 50c | 320.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 308.15$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 306.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Magic | 46c | 292.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 288.5$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Magic | 14c | 260$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842d…7dd1backed Cavaliers | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Magic | 46c | 253.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 10.5No won
- De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Magic vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.