TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over47c33,577$15,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,625.1338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under53c28,302$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,301.8944352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over48c20,002$9,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,601.071,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c15,868$7,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,940.379,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Under49c12,667$6,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,460.088230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c12,047$5,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,116.554,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c9,912$5,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,409.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.9226949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Over53c8,995$4,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,767.425139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over50c6,640$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.7919954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over53c6,317$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.373,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over51c4,017$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.058853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c3,237$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.042,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c2,862$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.795,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c2,169$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.132,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x155d…2525backed Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8803961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over55c1,829$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.8195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under53c1,544$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.5852460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over40c1,399$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under50c1,222$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61111048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over51c1,216$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.962,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over53c1,140$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60426048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under49c1,002$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.2229352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over56c775.96$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.132952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Over47c651.26$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0918345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Over53c509.64$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.115855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed Under48c494.22$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.431283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+55.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c473.33$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.943,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Over55c452.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over51c448.33$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1663447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c392.49$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c384.31$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.393,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over48c383.08$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5911945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under49c369.27$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.331,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over47c279.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.711650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c243.48$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.543,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Under56c237.77$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9613943.2%60 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over51c227.83$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6918240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under48c225.45$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11719448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2e…6875backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006149.2%30 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10248146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10422648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Under56c179.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2519741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over55c150.4$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.282,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x874e…9bcabacked Over48c123.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.123336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Over25c119.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c119$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.692,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Over51c105.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.01862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb597…2949backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a5…d47bbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Over61c81.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508854.5%48 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under57c74.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.431,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over66c70.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6336453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under44c69.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6554549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Over52c65.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.059458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Under56c58.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7911051.8%57 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under48c57.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1343244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under55c51.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2266646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5113…3bb0backed Over49c50.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.943764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under53c50.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.623141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.549852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.56851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.513050.8%66 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Over53c48.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5413850%69 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb15…f4f8backed Over51c44.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6a…8777backed Over53c41.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.445542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c38.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under52c32.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7811555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Under58c30.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.094252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Over52c29.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.333930.8%12 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e77…4fd2backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Over54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7816354%88 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c4…0f96backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2835049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under42c27.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.181,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Under56c26.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.467851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under51c25.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.745460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over52c25.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.541556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf111…3b8ebacked Under55c25.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.66825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-60.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Over54c20.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7514654.8%80 W · 66 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b2…7025backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211136%40 W · 71 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20a1…a9afbacked Over59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82969%20 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.