NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a1b1ec76721ce2964a2c0066da3868cef8f06b9085ffc852cd96d08c5e79e83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 47c | 33,577$15,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,625.13 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 53c | 28,302$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,301.89 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 48c | 20,002$9,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,601.07 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 15,868$7,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,940.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Under | 49c | 12,667$6,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.08 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 12,047$5,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,116.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 9,912$5,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Over | 53c | 8,995$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.42 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 50c | 6,640$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.79 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 6,317$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 51c | 4,017$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.05 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 3,237$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,862$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 2,169$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 55c | 1,829$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.81 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 53c | 1,544$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.58 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 40c | 1,399$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.98 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 50c | 1,222$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 1,216$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.96 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Over | 53c | 1,140$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.22 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 56c | 775.96$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.1 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Over | 47c | 651.26$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.09 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Over | 53c | 509.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.11 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 48c | 494.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.43 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 473.33$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Over | 55c | 452.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over | 51c | 448.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 392.49$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 384.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 48c | 383.08$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 369.27$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.33 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 47c | 279.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 243.48$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 56c | 237.77$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 51c | 227.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 48c | 225.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…6875backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Under | 56c | 179.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 55c | 150.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…9bcabacked Over | 48c | 123.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Over | 25c | 119.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 119$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Over | 51c | 105.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Over | 61c | 81.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 57c | 74.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 66c | 70.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 44c | 69.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Over | 52c | 65.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 56c | 58.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 48c | 57.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 55c | 51.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…3bb0backed Over | 49c | 50.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 53c | 50.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 53c | 48.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Over | 51c | 44.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…8777backed Over | 53c | 41.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 38.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 52c | 32.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Under | 58c | 30.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 52c | 29.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…4fd2backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…0f96backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 42c | 27.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Under | 56c | 26.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 51c | 25.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 25.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked Under | 55c | 25.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over | 54c | 20.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…7025backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…a9afbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 10.5No won
- De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Magic vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.