TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf111…3b8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$54.36
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+126.4%+$23.01
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+37.9%+$11.32
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.94
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+29.1%+$6.98
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.54
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.41
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+30.8%+$9.96
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.28
LoL: DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22
LoL: DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$38
LoL: DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+64.4%+$27.17
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35.18
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.17
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.15
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26.34
All 19 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-42.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-60.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-71.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+68.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.24
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+221.4%+$67.28
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+44.5%+$16.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.