Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Amanda Anisimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5bd1a38111a43d039ca8fc48c7f4f2e0690c87584de68a7fbea294131ede56f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anisimovaof Wang, Anisimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wang | 4c | 30,862$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Wang | 15c | 20,146$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.94 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wang | 11c | 10,287$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.38 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Wang | 8c | 8,656$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.19 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Wang | 14c | 7,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wang | 16c | 6,075$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wang | 12c | 6,070$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.34 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Wang | 11c | 5,835$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.91 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wang | 11c | 4,953$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.73 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Wang | 13c | 4,382$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wang | 4c | 4,258$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.74 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wang | 1c | 4,218$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Wang | 4c | 3,800$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Wang | 15c | 3,418$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wang | 16c | 3,016$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.5 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wang | 10c | 2,827$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Wang | 14c | 2,092$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.93 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…7764backed Wang | 22c | 2,000$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Wang | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wang | 1c | 1,603$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Wang | 18c | 1,500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Wang | 15c | 1,400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Wang | 23c | 1,351$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.89 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wang | 17c | 1,341$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Wang | 20c | 1,283$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.71 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Wang | 16c | 1,157$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.13 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Wang | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wang | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Wang | 17c | 730.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…6858backed Wang | 16c | 614.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Anisimova | 79c | 604.79$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…2926backed Wang | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Wang | 15c | 524.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Anisimova | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…6303backed Wang | 4c | 455.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Wang | 7c | 444.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 172 | 60.5%104 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…494bbacked Wang | 18c | 370.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Wang | 16c | 324.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Wang | 16c | 318.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…40c3backed Wang | 12c | 309.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Wang | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…6e84backed Wang | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…928fbacked Wang | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc989…7429backed Wang | 18c | 278.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wang | 15c | 266$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked Wang | 12c | 227.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Wang | 15c | 212.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Wang | 16c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Wang | 17c | 152.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0631…bc9cbacked Wang | 15c | 144.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Wang | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…f3c1backed Wang | 17c | 136.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Wang | 12c | 134.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed Anisimova | 80c | 133.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…55f8backed Wang | 16c | 126.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Wang | 9c | 114.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Wang | 15c | 112.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Wang | 19c | 105.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Wang | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Wang | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Wang | 16c | 99.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…55a4backed Wang | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Wang | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Anisimova | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…58ecbacked Wang | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c8…c187backed Wang | 16c | 64.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wang | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…c0a7backed Wang | 18c | 59.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Anisimova | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Anisimova | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Amanda Anisimovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wang vs AnisimovaAnisimova won
- Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)Anisimova won
- Wang vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Wang vs. Anisimova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wang vs. Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.