Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Blue Otter vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c30f9a2b920be6c6378945105b5b10dcea350f82f82447db2ec0ecab62547e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pigeonsof Blue Otter, Pigeons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pigeons | 8c | 2,113$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.32 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Pigeons | 30c | 2,014$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Blue Otter | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pigeons | 12c | 891.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.48 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Pigeons | 30c | 648.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.07 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Pigeons | 15c | 387.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.4 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Pigeons | 23c | 321.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.86 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Pigeons | 40c | 253$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pigeons | 17c | 222.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…5af8backed Pigeons | 38c | 214.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Pigeons | 15c | 140$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Pigeons | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Blue Otter | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…5ca1backed Pigeons | 15c | 100.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…4db6backed Blue Otter | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Blue Otter | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked Pigeons | 22c | 90.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Pigeons | 46c | 88.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…482ebacked Pigeons | 16c | 71.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Pigeons | 15c | 69.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Pigeons | 17c | 68.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Blue Otter | 38c | 61.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Pigeons | 55c | 54.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ec…dab9backed Pigeons | 22c | 51.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Blue Otter | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Pigeons | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…db07backed Blue Otter | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…9918backed Pigeons | 37c | 29.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Blue Otter | 79c | 27.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Blue Otter | 62c | 26.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Blue Otter | 69c | 23.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Blue Otter | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…6e24backed Blue Otter | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.