Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48a9cd35bab9e6f9bbcffd8ed6812610afc2c5bdd2f6dde48d92dbe29c513e76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4d…619abacked Under | 43c | 5,433$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 3,488$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.57 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 33c | 1,703$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.56 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 35c | 1,382$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.93 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 34c | 887.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.41 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 55c | 799.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 58c | 632.1$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Under | 47c | 630.02$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 55c | 493.49$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 463.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.15 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 444.5$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 44c | 440$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 63c | 421.29$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 400$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 38c | 386.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +80%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 58c | 346.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 323.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 57c | 258$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 46c | 217.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 200.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked Over | 76c | 199.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 182.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 60c | 154.12$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae77…fa72backed Under | 43c | 128.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 109.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 35c | 100.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 43c | 98.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +260.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 57c | 88.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 84.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 41c | 83.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 38c | 81.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…2d72backed Over | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Over | 59c | 69.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 35c | 55.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 40c | 49.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked Under | 35c | 46.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Under | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…583bbacked Over | 58c | 44.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…e6e4backed Under | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 58c | 43.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…2851backed Over | 78c | 40.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…4e55backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 56c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…4a64backed Under | 44c | 34.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 36c | 33.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…fc8abacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 43c | 31.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Under | 44c | 31.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 35c | 28.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3d…341abacked Over | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 58c | 25.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Under | 47c | 23.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 58c | 22.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6257…99f6backed Over | 58c | 22.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.