TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedf1…6eb1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.86
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutetbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$43.93
Australian Open Men's: Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borgesbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$75.2
Australian Open Women's: Daria Kasatkina vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+194.1%+$34.95
Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+185.7%+$18.61
Australian Open Men's: James Duckworth vs Dino Prizmicbacked Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$67.66
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$35.12
Australian Open Men's: Valentin Royer vs Taylor Fritzbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.06
Australian Open Men's: Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.24
Australian Open Women's: Rebecca Sramkova vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.69
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Australian Open Men's: Christopher O'Connell vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+86.9%+$23.75
Australian Open Women's: Julia Grabher vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Raphael Collignonbacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$51.35
Australian Open Women's: Karolina Pliskova vs Sloane Stephensbacked Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+233.3%+$34.99
Set 1 Winner: Sun vs Fruhvirtovabacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Set 1 Winner: Pliskova vs Stephensbacked Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Australian Open Men's: Cristian Garin vs Luciano Darderibacked Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$44.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+71.3%+$19.1
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+97.7%+$61.64
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.1%+$11.97
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.07
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$53.17
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.83
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.56
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ALLINNERS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Abacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+144.2%+$60.02
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ALLINNERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$78.53
Counter-Strike: Satriales vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stagebacked HereWeGoAgain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.9%+$124.46
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35.99
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+1,424.5%+$335.58
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+79.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.61
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+73.5%+$10.52
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.42
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+394.8%+$88.65
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$46.46
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+34.3%+$30.41
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.3%+$94.39
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+212.4%+$191.07
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+48.9%+$17.6
LoL: paiN Gaming vs LOUD (BO1)backed paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+733.3%+$87.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+111.9%+$11.83
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$90.49
Suns vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21.06
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+129.1%+$18.66
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+110.5%+$13.26
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 6 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.16
Colgate Raiders vs. American Eaglesbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$92.05
Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$19.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+249.7%+$172.39
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.31
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+34.4%+$4.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
C.J. Stroud: Rushing Yards O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.