CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41dd2814b7ffa1f548e4eff2ea07f0172cfdb227a5d63094ef4d0ad736e34409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf033…3819backed Sangal | 0c | 10,022$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Sangal | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed HOTU | 70c | 7,777$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.66 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HOTU | 59c | 5,984$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.31 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sangal | 41c | 5,051$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.28 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked HOTU | 79c | 2,279$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.65 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sangal | 45c | 2,079$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.95 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked HOTU | 49c | 2,000$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Sangal | 32c | 1,995$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.8 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Sangal | 51c | 1,332$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.1 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked HOTU | 55c | 1,204$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.43 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Sangal | 48c | 728.59$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.51 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed HOTU | 48c | 574.16$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.32 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed HOTU | 70c | 419.11$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked HOTU | 50c | 417.59$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sangal | 30c | 406.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU | 60c | 399$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…5d35backed Sangal | 10c | 389.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sangal | 35c | 314.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Sangal | 25c | 308.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed HOTU | 75c | 267.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Sangal | 39c | 258.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sangal | 41c | 241.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed HOTU | 44c | 202.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed HOTU | 71c | 189.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Sangal | 16c | 189.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…7efabacked Sangal | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a750backed Sangal | 53c | 176.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Sangal | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed HOTU | 76c | 166.47$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed HOTU | 62c | 153.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Sangal | 54c | 131.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed HOTU | 72c | 128.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…5255backed Sangal | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked HOTU | 73c | 121$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed HOTU | 56c | 113.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Sangal | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Sangal | 36c | 99.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…807abacked HOTU | 70c | 98.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed HOTU | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…a876backed HOTU | 65c | 95.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Sangal | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Sangal | 12c | 85.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Sangal | 39c | 84.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Sangal | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed HOTU | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed HOTU | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed HOTU | 72c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Sangal | 22c | 73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked HOTU | 73c | 68.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Sangal | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed HOTU | 64c | 64.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed HOTU | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed HOTU | 63c | 59.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Sangal | 23c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked HOTU | 64c | 55.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed Sangal | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked HOTU | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed HOTU | 59c | 51.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Sangal | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed HOTU | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…b7a9backed Sangal | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Sangal | 53c | 49.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…00b4backed HOTU | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Sangal | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Sangal | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked HOTU | 74c | 41.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Sangal | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…33d1backed HOTU | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Sangal | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed HOTU | 56c | 37.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed HOTU | 54c | 36.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Sangal | 32c | 35.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Sangal | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed HOTU | 65c | 34.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed HOTU | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed HOTU | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0465…49e2backed Sangal | 41c | 33.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…0d30backed HOTU | 51c | 32.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed HOTU | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU | 67c | 29.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sangal | 42c | 29.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked HOTU | 68c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed HOTU | 63c | 27.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked HOTU | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed Sangal | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked HOTU | 58c | 23.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…9061backed HOTU | 63c | 21.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed HOTU | 75c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a4b5backed HOTU | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a1…9836backed HOTU | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked HOTU | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked HOTU | 73c | 17.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed HOTU | 67c | 15.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…5541backed HOTU | 73c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal - Map 1 WinnerSangal won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.