TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HOTUof HOTU, Sangal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf033…3819backed Sangal0c10,022$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Sangal30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed HOTU70c7,777$5,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.6613954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked HOTU59c5,984$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.313,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sangal41c5,051$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.282,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked HOTU79c2,279$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.6518654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sangal45c2,079$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.953,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked HOTU49c2,000$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.33652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed Sangal32c1,995$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.89264.1%59 W · 33 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Sangal51c1,332$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.127530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked HOTU55c1,204$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.4314744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Sangal48c728.59$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5111631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed HOTU48c574.16$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3215743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed HOTU70c419.11$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8818536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked HOTU50c417.59$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.336245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Sangal30c406.55$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.95,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU60c399$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbf…5d35backed Sangal10c389.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Sangal35c314.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0792152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Sangal25c308.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7697230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed HOTU75c267.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6232653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Sangal39c258.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sangal41c241.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4524038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c8…0551backed HOTU44c202.13$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1137627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed HOTU71c189.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5616950.9%86 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf1…6eb1backed Sangal16c189.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.831540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…7efabacked Sangal53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba0…a750backed Sangal53c176.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.492045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Sangal57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed HOTU76c166.47$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.95560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed HOTU62c153.85$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2221139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Sangal54c131.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8225045.2%113 W · 137 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854e…8ad8backed HOTU72c128.55$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d3…5255backed Sangal8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+77.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked HOTU73c121$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed HOTU56c113.34$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.879433%31 W · 63 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Sangal26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Sangal36c99.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.77425.7%19 W · 55 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf413…807abacked HOTU70c98.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed HOTU61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3613119.8%26 W · 105 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea51…a876backed HOTU65c95.69$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Sangal21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2057322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Sangal12c85.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.692846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Sangal39c84.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.292548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Sangal50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014950.3%75 W · 74 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed HOTU74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed HOTU66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed HOTU72c73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Sangal22c73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3912752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked HOTU73c68.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3112669%87 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Sangal30c67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9524249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed HOTU64c64.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.149151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed HOTU72c62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed HOTU63c59.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.181952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Sangal23c58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5833949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked HOTU64c55.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2026553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Sangal41c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.656726.9%18 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked HOTU75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.336352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed HOTU59c51.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1420243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Sangal49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.515648.1%75 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed HOTU72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1429153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c4…b7a9backed Sangal42c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Sangal53c49.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.238636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4de…00b4backed HOTU55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.458457.1%48 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7c…1214backed Sangal27c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked Sangal27c44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e4…0b1fbacked HOTU74c41.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.831258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Sangal26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcd…33d1backed HOTU50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Sangal26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed HOTU56c37.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4629350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed HOTU54c36.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked Sangal32c35.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.334012.5%5 W · 35 L-9.7wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-70.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked Sangal52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1511747%55 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed HOTU65c34.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1819843.9%87 W · 111 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed HOTU72c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.521060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed HOTU72c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.521060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0465…49e2backed Sangal41c33.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe71c…0d30backed HOTU51c32.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.734141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e2…d949backed HOTU75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.52962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU67c29.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.891,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Sangal42c29.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4629128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked HOTU68c29.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.397652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed HOTU63c27.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.383161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked HOTU72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db3…9657backed Sangal50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122850%14 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked HOTU58c23.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.782254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2e…9061backed HOTU63c21.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x498b…ca86backed HOTU75c20.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1320659.2%122 W · 84 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5911…a4b5backed HOTU63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92a1…9836backed HOTU58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked HOTU72c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.041233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked HOTU73c17.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed HOTU67c15.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.143652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8675…5541backed HOTU73c13.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.