CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e45e6585a814934298e35a8ad39d8f5bbdb0e543f964a72c8a70203ff6078aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HOTU | 62c | 1,098$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.49 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sangal | 26c | 1,086$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.76 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed HOTU | 77c | 966.7$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Sangal | 51c | 602$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.7 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked HOTU | 65c | 270$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Sangal | 12c | 209.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Sangal | 15c | 131.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Sangal | 25c | 115.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Sangal | 17c | 115.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed HOTU | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Sangal | 21c | 83.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Sangal | 31c | 78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Sangal | 35c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Sangal | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Sangal | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked HOTU | 71c | 42.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed HOTU | 69c | 34.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed HOTU | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed HOTU | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier PlayoffsHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal - Map 1 WinnerSangal won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.