TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5911…a4b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+237.8%+$28.16
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.64
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.8
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42%+$7.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$4.1
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$48.3
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$28.9
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+101.3%+$15.1
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.2
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+73.4%+$31.75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$18.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.6
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+50.4%+$6.7
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-72.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+59.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+199.9%+$29.1
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$26.9
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$14.9
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Raptors vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+88%+$11.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.2%+$17.8
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sangal (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Abacked kONO.ECF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26%+$11.45
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-74.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-69.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.9
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.