NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc5473400892ed3178f359bdc0ce1e1a6aed233593da9b7662454b198bd7cd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 50c | 103,953$51,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,976.7 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 93,916$46,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,958.1 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Over | 52c | 49,821$25,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,914.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 49c | 11,321$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570.49 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 8,593$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.43 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 48c | 5,987$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 46c | 5,500$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.99 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 51c | 5,300$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.9 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Under | 48c | 5,013$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 56c | 5,006$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.45 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 4,416$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.87 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 50c | 4,403$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.4 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Under | 48c | 3,563$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 48c | 3,060$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.8 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 3,033$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 2,598$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.64 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 52c | 2,260$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.26 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 48c | 2,091$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.68 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Under | 51c | 1,954$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.26 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 1,866$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.8 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Over | 51c | 1,713$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 51c | 1,674$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.5 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.67 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 1,149$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.82 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,127$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.48 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 1,020$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.44 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…08aabacked Over | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 987.15$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 895$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 51c | 852.94$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.94 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 23c | 764.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.76 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 51c | 708$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.68 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 604.97$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.83 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 21c | 557.91$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Under | 52c | 496.94$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Over | 51c | 485.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.91 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 476.41$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 49c | 467.58$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.47 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 421.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 413.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…6c99backed Under | 19c | 356.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 54c | 350.85$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Under | 14c | 310.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Under | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 40c | 279.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 51c | 179.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 30c | 135.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa7…2e1abacked Over | 50c | 127.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 115.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5876…793fbacked Under | 28c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 33c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 78c | 108.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 50c | 90.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 51c | 86.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 51c | 80.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 72.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 58.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 52.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Over | 51c | 42.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 32c | 41.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 48c | 38.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 317 | 45.4%144 W · 173 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Under | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9cf4backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Over | 75c | 26.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 72c | 23.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 49c | 23.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5this page
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Timberwolves vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.