NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x234c7e1390cd1e68d5126fac8180d101d286e2ae8b2d988fefa1727526e68eac

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Timberwolves
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,293,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,303,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,293,546 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Cavaliers	51c	1,183,732$600,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583,291.17	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves	49c	750,000$370,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370,000	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Timberwolves	49c	200,000$98,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98,000	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves	50c	90,954$45,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,183.45	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves	49c	50,006$24,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,503.09	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves	50c	38,982$19,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,345.04	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves	49c	35,000$17,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,300	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers	49c	21,100$10,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,761	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves	49c	16,657$8,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,211.25	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves	43c	11,725$5,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,058.26	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Cavaliers	50c	8,143$4,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,071.5	155	49.7%77 W · 78 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Timberwolves	50c	5,285$2,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,642.45	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacd…9109backed Timberwolves	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers	57c	4,511$2,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,939.76	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves	50c	4,423$2,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,211.61	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers	56c	3,132$1,754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,378.23	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers	51c	3,120$1,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,537.2	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Timberwolves	50c	3,066$1,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,533	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Timberwolves	49c	3,034$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,487	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Timberwolves	49c	3,000$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+7.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves	50c	2,900$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves	50c	2,669$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.53	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	49c	2,523$1,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,235.71	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Cavaliers	52c	2,199$1,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.77	92	63%58 W · 34 L	+9.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cavaliers	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	367	48.2%177 W · 190 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Timberwolves	51c	1,877$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.29	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Cavaliers	50c	1,400$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	173	44.5%77 W · 96 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers	53c	1,200$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves	49c	1,179$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.93	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves	49c	1,122$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.78	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b0…5af4backed Timberwolves	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Timberwolves	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	166	57.2%95 W · 71 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Timberwolves	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	46c	981.32$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.62	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Timberwolves	20c	945.7$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.54	138	35.5%49 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers	49c	859.88$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.54	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Cavaliers	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Cavaliers	47c	610$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.3	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Cavaliers	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves	53c	572.26$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.3	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Timberwolves	51c	407.84$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves	43c	400$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Timberwolves	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves	50c	319.4$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.7	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Timberwolves	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers	51c	285$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.65	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Timberwolves	50c	270$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves	50c	250$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.75	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Timberwolves	9c	248.47$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	132	28.8%38 W · 94 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cavaliers	52c	235.28$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.11	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Timberwolves	51c	203.32$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.69	166	58.4%97 W · 69 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Timberwolves	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Cavaliers	54c	181$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.26	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers	38c	164.52$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Timberwolves	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Timberwolves	49c	160$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Cavaliers	49c	153.71$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.39	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Timberwolves	44c	128.51$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.76	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Timberwolves	19c	127.31$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.16	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Timberwolves	56c	120.7$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.55	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Timberwolves	15c	119.79$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.18	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Timberwolves	51c	109.24$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.62	244	54.1%132 W · 112 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Timberwolves	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Timberwolves	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	197	56.3%111 W · 86 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Cavaliers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	217	49.3%107 W · 110 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Cavaliers	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.43	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Timberwolves	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	226	33.2%75 W · 151 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Timberwolves	51c	90$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.9	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Cavaliers	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Timberwolves	51c	87.6$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.68	180	51.1%92 W · 88 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Timberwolves	48c	84$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Timberwolves	49c	84$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.16	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5696…80d2backed Cavaliers	53c	80$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.9	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Timberwolves	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Timberwolves	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	246	53.3%131 W · 115 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Timberwolves	48c	66$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	342	54.1%185 W · 157 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Timberwolves	51c	62$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Timberwolves	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c7…9bdebacked Timberwolves	51c	59.59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.39	147	64.6%95 W · 52 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Cavaliers	53c	56.04$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.34	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-11.5wins	-0.22per pick	53cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Cavaliers	49c	52.75$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.75	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Timberwolves	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	107	58.9%63 W · 44 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53d7…0b48backed Timberwolves	64c	46.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Timberwolves	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	-12.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Timberwolves	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Timberwolves	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Timberwolves	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	315	51.1%161 W · 154 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Timberwolves	51c	39.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	120	62.5%75 W · 45 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Timberwolves	49c	38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.62	204	56.4%115 W · 89 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Timberwolves	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Timberwolves	49c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	366	51.4%188 W · 178 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Cavaliers	52c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	150	51.3%77 W · 73 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Timberwolves	49c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Cavaliers	52c	34.72$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.72	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Timberwolves	44c	34.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Timberwolves	48c	34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.32	273	50.9%139 W · 134 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)this page
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Timberwolves vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event