NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x275b0eccaa537796243289455ff12650a382e3dc3aae1e457e62882a498c7c28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 12,243$5,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,350.76 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 52c | 8,648$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515.55 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 5,606$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.16 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 5,302$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.96 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 5,250$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,476$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.83 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,356$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 57c | 3,661$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.87 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 2,552$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,512$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.03 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 2,315$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 2,029$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.59 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,011$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,188$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,178$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,048$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,001$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.74 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Timberwolves | 50c | 909.1$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 50c | 842.72$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.07 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 841.53$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers | 46c | 807.69$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.46 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Timberwolves | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Timberwolves | 14c | 415$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Cavaliers | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Cavaliers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 386.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Timberwolves | 53c | 378$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…0641backed Timberwolves | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Timberwolves | 51c | 294.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Cavaliers | 46c | 286.29$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.43 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Timberwolves | 63c | 242$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 220.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Timberwolves | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 154.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Timberwolves | 59c | 149.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Timberwolves | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Cavaliers | 48c | 122.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Cavaliers | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 93.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 89.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 51c | 87.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…d878backed Timberwolves | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Cavaliers | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Timberwolves | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Timberwolves | 55c | 72.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Cavaliers | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Cavaliers | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Timberwolves | 52c | 56.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Timberwolves | 69c | 47.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Timberwolves | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cavaliers | 39c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Cavaliers | 42c | 43.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 42.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Cavaliers | 48c | 40.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Timberwolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Cavaliers | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Cavaliers | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 36.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Cavaliers | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Cavaliers | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Cavaliers | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 33.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Cavaliers | 48c | 30.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Timberwolves | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Cavaliers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Cavaliers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…0b62backed Cavaliers | 50c | 29.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Timberwolves vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.