NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84056f6837a39a7ea1f46de20952bacb3148876727ae0cfa0226ea02f78436aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 49c | 135,246$66,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,361.52 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 51c | 100,057$51,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,027.88 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 13,027$6,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,383.21 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 7,282$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.41 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 6,317$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 52c | 5,100$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 3,134$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.89 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 1,851$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.73 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 1,703$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 39c | 1,449$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.17 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 1,409$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.32 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 1,291$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.02 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.15 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 623.31$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.72 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…0f52backed Over | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Under | 32c | 505.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 455.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 315.78$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 51c | 193.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 52c | 165.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Over | 50c | 137$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Under | 51c | 136.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 122.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…195cbacked Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Under | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 52c | 86.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 52c | 85.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Over | 49c | 68.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 48c | 68.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 49c | 56.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…0e3dbacked Under | 49c | 51.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Over | 54c | 48.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 28c | 48.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…9e1cbacked Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 50c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Over | 52c | 39.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 51c | 30.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 52c | 29.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 52c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60e…a171backed Under | 51c | 19.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5this page
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Timberwolves vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.